战争的世界
The War of the World
Niall Ferguson · 初版 2006 年
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历史学家 Fergusson 对现代史做出了颠覆性的重新诠释，解开了其核心悖论：为何空前的进步会与前所未有的暴力相伴而生，以及为何西方看似辉煌的胜利之中却早已埋下了自我瓦解的祸根。从预示第一次世界大战的诸多冲突，到冷战引发的余波震荡，二十世纪堪称整个人类历史上最为血腥的时代。当科技与经济的发展让大多数人的生活水平远胜以往之时，我们又该如何解释那场规模与破坏力皆惊心动魄的暴力浩劫？无论人们放眼何
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……在一战打破了原有的老牌列强格局与财富秩序之后。第一次和第二次世界大战其实必须当作一个整体来看待。战火在20年代的东欧继续蔓延，接着在1936年的西班牙再度重燃。可以参考尼尔·弗格森的《巨人》（War of the World）。在 WW I 摧毁德意志、俄罗斯、奥匈和奥斯曼这几个帝国的权力结构之前，社会主义其实并没有那么强大。二战中战火的重燃则彻底摧毁了……
…after World War I disrupted incumbent powers and wealth. World Wars I and II really need to be considered as a unit. War continued into the '20s in Eastern Europe and then resumes in 1936 in Spain. See "War of the World" by Niall Ferguson. Socialism was not that strong before WW I destroyed the power structures of the German, Russian, Austro-Hungarian, and Ottoman Empires. The resumption of war in World War II destroyed…
我最近读了尼尔·弗格森的《巨人》（War of the World），该书提供了一个审视20世纪的全新历史视角。那是一场长达100年的漫长战争，从为一战埋下伏笔，到引发二战，再一路延续到冷战。他认为，完全是同一种思维方式和……
I have recently read Niall Ferguson’s “War of the World", which gives a new history of the 20th century. One that was one long 100-year war spanning from set up for WWI which led to WWII which led to Cold War. He argues that the same types of thinking and…
那种关于20世纪初的世界看起来多么和平、彼此依存的观察，也正是尼尔·弗格森在《巨人》（The War of the World）一书开篇所写的。真正发人深省的是，看到当年的人们竟然如此深信：相互依存与全球化会让大规模战争变得绝无可能。
That observation of how peaceful and interdependent the world looked at the dawn of the 20th century is also how Niall Ferguson's book The War of the World starts. It really is quite sobering to appreciate how people back then really believed that mutual dependence and globalization would make large-scale warfare impossible.
尼尔·弗格森审视20世纪的著作《巨人：仇恨的世纪》（The War of the World: History's Age of Hatred），开篇就指出20世纪初的一切看起来是多么惬意和安定，正如凯恩斯所形容的那样，这种状态在当时看来……
Niall Ferguson's The War of the World: History's Age of Hatred, which looks at the 20th century, starts by pointing out how comfortable and settled everything looked at the start of the 20th century and as Keynes put it that this state appeared…
我还记得尼尔·弗格森在《巨人》（The War of the World）开篇讲过这个——在1913年，世界看起来跟今天颇为相似（至少从“全球化”的视角来看是这样）。
I remember that from the start of Niall Ferguson's The War of the World - in 1913 the world looked quite a bit like it does today (at least from a "globalization" perspective).
我认为眼前并不存在爆发战争的现实可能。然而，我忍不住想起尼尔·弗格森在《巨人》（The War of the World）开篇写道：“20世纪初的世界对于其大多数居民来说，显得稳定且相对温和。全球化和蓬勃发展的经济与技术突破相结合，似乎预示着……
I don't think there is any immediate prospect of war. However, I can't help recalling the start of Nial Ferguson's "The War of the World": "The world at the beginning of the 20th century seemed for most of its inhabitants stable and relatively benign. Globalizing, booming economies married to technological breakthroughs seemed to promise…