商业动态学

Hacker News 上怎么说

• jacques_chester · 2018 年

  我觉得不同人推荐的书差异如此明显，这非常有意思。在我读过的书里，Sterman 的《Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World》是对系统思考的理论和实践最全面的入门书。相关的书有很多，而且作为一个交叉学科群……

  I find the visibly distinct split in recommendations to be fascinating. Of the books I've read, Sterman's Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World is the best all-round introduction to both the theory and practice of systems thinking. There are a lot of books and as a family of related fields,…

• jacques_chester · 2018 年

  ……几乎是确凿无疑的。瓮罐会“锁定”在某一条特定的路径上。虽然理论上它可以回到 50:50 或者摆向另一种颜色，但发生这种情况的概率会迅速变得微乎其微。John Sterman 在《Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World》里对此有极其精彩的论述。值得找来看看。

  …more or less certain. The urn "locks" into a particular path. While in theory it could return to 50:50 or swing back to the other colour, the odds of doing so rapidly become astronomical. John Sterman's Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World has a really excellent discussion. Worth looking for.

• jacques_chester · 2019 年

  如果只读一本，那就选 Sterman 的《Business Dynamics》，它恰好处在“把系统玄学化”和“把系统当微积分课后作业”之间的完美平衡点。原版精装已经绝版而且非常贵，不过现在能买到便宜的国际版。

  If you read one book, make it Sterman's Business Dynamics, which hits the sweet spot between systems-as-woo and systems-as-calculus-homework. The original hardback is out of print and very expensive, but there are cheap international editions available now.

• jacques_chester · 2020 年

  ……仅仅是在最初形成假设阶段。你需要一个存量与流量模型（stock-and-flow model）来真正检验并详细阐述你的假设。我读过的这个领域最好的综合入门书依然是 Sterman 的《Business Dynamics》。第一版精装已经绝版了，但市面上有二手书，也能买到便宜的国际版。预计明年会出第二版。

  …only during initial hypothesis formation. You need a stock-and-flow model to actually test and elaborate your hypothesis. The best all-round introductory book I have read in this area is still Sterman's Business Dynamics. 1st edition hardbacks are out of print, but there are second-hand copies and also cheap international editions around. A 2nd edition is expected next year.

• jacques_chester · 2020 年

  我觉得 Sterman 的《Business Dynamics》是我所有藏书里最全面的系统动力学书籍了（上面提到的我买了三本，Weinberg 那本除外）。Meadows 的书很有意思，读起来很快，但比较浅显。Morecroft 的书则很透彻……

  I've found Business Dynamics by Sterman to be the best all-round System Dynamics book in my collection (I have three of the above, excluding Weinberg's). Meadows is interesting and a quick read, but shallow. Morecroft is a thorough…

• gerbler · 2021 年

  你读过 John Sterman 的《Business Dynamics》吗？它本质上就是把 Meadows 的方法应用到了商业环境中，其中也包括对整体组织架构的思考。

  Have you come across Business Dynamics by John Sterman? It's essentially Meadows approach applied to the business environment, including thinking about general organizational structure.

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