William Bernstein 非常有说服力地论证了：在（令人惊讶的）过去几百年里，长期经济增长其实保持得相当稳定。参见他的书《The Birth of Plenty》：https://www.amazon.com/Birth-Plenty-Prosperity-Modern-Create... 他指出的经济增长的关键要素是：(1) 产权，(2) 科学理性主义，(3) 资本市场，以及 (4) 充足的……
William Bernstein has argued pretty well that the growth of economies over the long term has held pretty stable over (surprisingly) the last several hundred years. See his book, "The Birth of Plenty": https://www.amazon.com/Birth-Plenty-Prosperity-Modern-Create... The keys to economic growth he identifies are (1) property rights, (2) scientific rationalism, (3) capital markets, and (4) adequate…
……Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World 《Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist》 《AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order》 历史类：《The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created》 《Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty》 通俗类：《Predictably Irrational, Revised and Expanded Edition: The Hidden Forces…》
…Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order Historical: The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty General: Predictably Irrational, Revised and Expanded Edition: The Hidden Forces…
……Lakoff - 《Seeing Like A State》，James Scott - 《Ishmael》，Daniel Quinn - 《Surely You're Joking Mr. Feynman》，Richard Feynman - 《Beyond Fear》，Bruce Schneier - 《The Omnivore's Dilemma》，Michael Pollan - 《The Birth Of Plenty》，William Bernstein
…Lakoff - Seeing Like A State, James Scott - Ishmael, Daniel Quinn - Surely You're Joking Mr. Feynman, Richard Feynman - Beyond Fear, Bruce Schneier - The Omnivore's Dilemma, Michael Pollan - The Birth Of Plenty, William Bernstein
William Bernstein 的其他作品我也挺喜欢的。他的书《The Birth of Plenty》非常棒。我还没读文章里提到的那本小册子，不过刚下载了。我挺好奇他现在对年轻人的建议是什么。至少在过去，他可不是特别……
I've liked other stuff by William Bernstein. His book "The Birth of Plenty" is excellent. I haven't read the pamphlet mentioned in the article, but I just downloaded it. I'll be interested to see what his advice is to younger people now. At least in the past, he was not quite…
……Drucker——任何做管理或扩张初创公司的人的“必读”读物。历史，以及世界为何变成今天这副模样：《Sapiens》，Yuval Noah Harari 著；《Guns, Germs, and Steel》，Jared Diamond 著；《The Birth of Plenty》，William Bernstein 著；《They Made America》，Harold Evans 著——一本极棒的历史书，每一章都详细讲述了美国历史上的一位商业人士或发明家的故事
…Drucker -- "essential" reading for anyone in management or scaling a startup. History, and why the world is the way it is today: Sapiens, Yuval Noah Harari Guns, Germs, and Steel, Jared Diamond The Birth of Plenty, William Bernstein They Made America, Harold Evans -- fantastic history book with each chapter telling the detailed story of a businessperson or inventor in U.S. history
还没通读整篇论文，但这句话吸引了我的注意：“目前每 15 年翻一番的全球经济，很快就会在短短一周到一个内翻一番”。而根据 William J. Bernstein 的《The Birth of Plenty》，自 1820 年以来全球财富一直以 2% 的稳定速率增长。不知道分歧从何而来。也许文章作者没有做校正……
Haven't read the full paper, but this caught my eye: The world economy, which now doubles in 15 years, would soon double in a week to a month According to the book "The Birth of Plenty" by William J. Bernstein, the world's wealth has been growing at a steady rate of 2% since 1820. Not sure where the disagreement comes from. Maybe the author of the article doesn't make a correction…
William Bernstein 非常有说服力地论证了：在（令人惊讶的）过去几百年里，长期经济增长其实保持得相当稳定。参见他的书《The Birth of Plenty》：https://www.amazon.com/Birth-Plenty-Prosperity-Modern-Create... 他指出的经济增长的关键要素是：(1) 产权，(2) 科学理性主义，(3) 资本市场，以及 (4) 充足的……
William Bernstein has argued pretty well that the growth of economies over the long term has held pretty stable over (surprisingly) the last several hundred years. See his book, "The Birth of Plenty": https://www.amazon.com/Birth-Plenty-Prosperity-Modern-Create... The keys to economic growth he identifies are (1) property rights, (2) scientific rationalism, (3) capital markets, and (4) adequate…
……Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World 《Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist》 《AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order》 历史类：《The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created》 《Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty》 通俗类：《Predictably Irrational, Revised and Expanded Edition: The Hidden Forces…》
…Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order Historical: The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty General: Predictably Irrational, Revised and Expanded Edition: The Hidden Forces…
……Lakoff - 《Seeing Like A State》，James Scott - 《Ishmael》，Daniel Quinn - 《Surely You're Joking Mr. Feynman》，Richard Feynman - 《Beyond Fear》，Bruce Schneier - 《The Omnivore's Dilemma》，Michael Pollan - 《The Birth Of Plenty》，William Bernstein
…Lakoff - Seeing Like A State, James Scott - Ishmael, Daniel Quinn - Surely You're Joking Mr. Feynman, Richard Feynman - Beyond Fear, Bruce Schneier - The Omnivore's Dilemma, Michael Pollan - The Birth Of Plenty, William Bernstein
William Bernstein 的其他作品我也挺喜欢的。他的书《The Birth of Plenty》非常棒。我还没读文章里提到的那本小册子，不过刚下载了。我挺好奇他现在对年轻人的建议是什么。至少在过去，他可不是特别……
I've liked other stuff by William Bernstein. His book "The Birth of Plenty" is excellent. I haven't read the pamphlet mentioned in the article, but I just downloaded it. I'll be interested to see what his advice is to younger people now. At least in the past, he was not quite…
……Drucker——任何做管理或扩张初创公司的人的“必读”读物。历史，以及世界为何变成今天这副模样：《Sapiens》，Yuval Noah Harari 著；《Guns, Germs, and Steel》，Jared Diamond 著；《The Birth of Plenty》，William Bernstein 著；《They Made America》，Harold Evans 著——一本极棒的历史书，每一章都详细讲述了美国历史上的一位商业人士或发明家的故事
…Drucker -- "essential" reading for anyone in management or scaling a startup. History, and why the world is the way it is today: Sapiens, Yuval Noah Harari Guns, Germs, and Steel, Jared Diamond The Birth of Plenty, William Bernstein They Made America, Harold Evans -- fantastic history book with each chapter telling the detailed story of a businessperson or inventor in U.S. history
还没通读整篇论文，但这句话吸引了我的注意：“目前每 15 年翻一番的全球经济，很快就会在短短一周到一个内翻一番”。而根据 William J. Bernstein 的《The Birth of Plenty》，自 1820 年以来全球财富一直以 2% 的稳定速率增长。不知道分歧从何而来。也许文章作者没有做校正……
Haven't read the full paper, but this caught my eye: The world economy, which now doubles in 15 years, would soon double in a week to a month According to the book "The Birth of Plenty" by William J. Bernstein, the world's wealth has been growing at a steady rate of 2% since 1820. Not sure where the disagreement comes from. Maybe the author of the article doesn't make a correction…