大国政治的悲剧
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics
John J. Mearsheimer · 初版 2001 年
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通过阐释其“offensive realism”（进攻性现实主义）理论，这位芝加哥大学政治学教授探讨了国家如何利用军事实力与区域霸权来确保自身生存。
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The Tragedy of Great Power Politics
John J. Mearsheimer · 初版 2001 年
通过阐释其“offensive realism”（进攻性现实主义）理论，这位芝加哥大学政治学教授探讨了国家如何利用军事实力与区域霸权来确保自身生存。
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我读过米尔斯海默的《大国政治的悲剧》（Tragedy of Great Power Politics），我觉得它是有史以来最重要的著作之一。它彻底改变了我对当今世界局势的思考方式。话虽如此，我觉得在俄乌这个话题上，……
I read Mearsheimer's "Tragedy of Great Power Politics", and I think it's one of the most important books ever written. It completely changed the way I think about what's going on in the world. That being said, I think on the topic of Russia and Ukraine,…
强烈推荐约翰·米尔斯海默的《大国政治的悲剧》（The Tragedy of Great Power Politics）。对俄罗斯来说，现在吞并乌克兰（全部或部分）是一笔划算到无法拒绝的买卖。俄罗斯清楚，以压倒性力量入侵将带来几乎不流血的吞并，……
Highly recommend "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" by John Mearsheimer. For Russia, annexing (all or part of) Ukraine now is too good a deal to pass. Russia knows that invading with an overwhelming force will result in a virtually bloodless annexation,…
……Stratfor 的问题在于，他们默认读者具备地缘政治、经济学、军事战略和历史方面的理论基础。他们这里依托的核心理论，最好的总结来自约翰·米尔斯海默的《大国政治的悲剧》（The Tragedy of Great Power Politics）[1]。剩下的很大一部分源自宏观经济学、博弈论和军事战略。退一步讲，这也很有价值，因为它紧扣美国情报界（以及许多……）的思维模式。
…Stratfor is they assume the reader has a theoretical foundation in geopolitics, economics, and military strategy and history. The core they're running on here is best summarised by John Mearsheimer in The Tragedy of Great Power Politics [1]. Much of the rest arises from macroeconomics, game theory, and military strategy. If nothing else this is valuable in that it follows closely the mindset of the US intelligence community (and many…
……在给普京/俄罗斯强加没有证据支持的动机上走得太远了），而且我认为国家通常追求的是安全最大化，而不是权力最大化。但米尔斯海默这本书的书名《大国政治的悲剧》（The Tragedy of Great Power politics）非常贴切。因为悲剧就在于，国家的利益与生活在其中的人民的福祉并不一致。我认为指出来这一点并不缺德，恰恰相反；残酷的真相是……
…way too far in ascribing motives to Putin/Russia that he doesn't have evidence for) and I think states are generally security maximizing and not power maximizing. But Mearsheimer's book title of "The Tragedy of Great Power politics" is apt. Because the tragedy is that states have different interests than the well being of the people that live in them. I don't think pointing that out is immoral, quite the opposite; hard truths are…
……导论。关于以牺牲他国为代价来扩张自身权力的系统性冲动，从而导致升级和冲突性的国际动态这一主题，必读之作就是约翰·米尔斯海默的《大国政治的悲剧》（The Tragedy of Great Power Politics）。他也和摩根索一样属于现实主义学派，不过你会发现他的文风比摩根索更有冲击力、更有攻击性。至于试图建立系统性的降级……
…introduction. On the topic of a systemic drive to increase ones power at the expense of others, leading to escalatory and conflictual international dynamics, your go-to book is John Mearsheimer's The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. He is also in the realist school of thought like Morgenthau, although you'll find that his style of writing is much punchier and pugilistic than Morgenthau's. On the attempt to build systemically de-escalatory…
……我称之为‘进攻性现实主义’，其本质上是现实主义的；因此它继承了 E. H. 卡尔、汉斯·摩根索和肯尼思·沃尔兹等现实主义思想家的传统。”——约翰·J·米尔斯海默，《大国政治的悲剧》（The Tragedy of Great Power Politics）。>>话虽如此，我认为在俄乌话题上，米尔斯海默的观点与他自己的理论（防御性现实主义）并不一致。我完全理解普京为什么这么做，他的……
…which I label “offensive realism,” is essentially realist in nature; it falls thus in the tradition of realist thinkers such as E. H. Carr, Hans Morgenthau, and Kenneth Waltz.”: John J. Mearsheimer. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. >>That being said, I think on the topic of Russia and Ukraine, Mearsheimer is not consistent with his own theory (defensive realism). I completely understand why Putin is doing what he's doing, his…