因果论
Causality
Judea Pearl · 初版 2000 年
17人推荐
34位读者提及
37次提及
为什么值得读
- 开创因果推断与图模型领域的奠基经典
- 澄清相关性只是构成因果关系的一部分
- 有助于理解科学研究与构建量化交易策略
本书由该领域的权威学者撰写，全面系统地阐释了现代因果分析（analysis of causation）。它展示了 causality 是如何从一个模糊的概念演变为一套数学理论，并在 statistics、artificial intelligence、economics、philosophy、cognitive science 以及健康与社会科学等领域发挥重要应用。Judea Pearl 梳理并统一了因果关系的 probabilistic、manipulative、counterfactual 和 structural approaches，并设计了用于研究因果关联之间关系的简明数学工具……
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Judea Pearl 的《因果关系》（Causality）、Jaynes 的《概率论》（Probability）以及 Cover 的《信息论基础》（Elements of Information Theory）。读完上面这些会对你设计交易策略大有帮助。至于衍生品建模这类内容，你就得去看看别的书了……
Causality by Judea Pearl, Probability by Jaynes & Elements of Information Theory by Cover. The above will help you design trading strategies. For modelling derivatives and such, you'll have to check out books…
……让人感觉好像某种“特殊”的相关性就能推导出因果关系一样。事实上，相关性只是推导因果关系所需的整套要素中的一部分而已。http://www.amazon.com/Causality-Reasoning-Inference-Judea-Pe...
…makes it feel as though some kind of "special" correlation implies causation. Really, correlation is just one part of a package of other things which all together imply causation. http://www.amazon.com/Causality-Reasoning-Inference-Judea-Pe...
Judea Pearl 的《因果关系》（Causality）这本书，算得上是对这个问题的一篇延伸解答。
The book Causality by Judea Pearl is kind of an extended answer to this question.
推荐 Judea Pearl 的《因果关系》（Causality），他对“为什么科学本质上是对因果模型的研究”做了非常精彩的探讨：https://books.google.com/books?id=LLkhAwAAQBAJ 简而言之，如果你没有因果概念，你就无法……
I recommend Causality by Judea Pearl, he has a pretty good discussion of why science is the study of causal models: https://books.google.com/books?id=LLkhAwAAQBAJ Basically, if you do not have a notion of causality, you cannot…
因果关系（Causality），也就是因果推断（Causal inference）和图模型（Graphical Models），可以看看 Judea Pearl 的著作，这个领域几乎是他一手开创的。https://www.amazon.com/Causality-Reasoning-Inference-Judea-P... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causality#Theories…
Causality, i.e. Causal inference & Graphical Models, see the work by Judea Pearl, he pretty much singlehandedly pioneered the field. https://www.amazon.com/Causality-Reasoning-Inference-Judea-P... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causality#Theories…
……如果这项研究可信的话，会导致吸食大麻的概率上升。相关性和概率本身就很有意思，而且它们实际上可以用来推断因果关系。http://www.amazon.com/Causality-Reasoning-Inference-Judea-Pe...
…to, if the study is to be believed, increase the probability of pot use. Correlations and probabilities are interesting for themselves, and can in fact be used to imply causation. http://www.amazon.com/Causality-Reasoning-Inference-Judea-Pe...