判断与决策心理学
The psychology of judgment and decision making
Scott Plous · 初版 1993 年
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美国人正面临着令人眼花缭乱的繁多选择。在这部生动介绍人们如何做出决策的心理学研究入门书中，Scott Plous聚焦于决策制定的社会心理层面，并纳入了来自医学、法律、商业、教育和核军备控制等多个领域的日常案例。本书面向非专业读者，着重强调实验研究成果而非抽象的心理学理论，采用描述性文字而非枯燥的数学语言来呈现信息。该书的一大独特亮点，是在第一章之前设置的“读者调查问卷”。读者将
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我强烈推荐斯科特·普劳斯的《判断与决策心理学》。它是一部精炼的、长达260页的认知偏差研究综述。它引用了大量卡尼曼/特沃斯基之外的研究，直奔主题，毫不……
I highly recommend "The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making" by Scott Plous. It's a concise, 260-page survey of all the research into cognitive biases. It cites a lot of other research than Kahneman/Tversky and gets right to the heart of the topic without being…
……决策（NDM）框架（https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naturalistic_decision-making）。如需全面了解各种方法/模型，请参阅乔纳森·男爵（Jonathan Baron）的《思考与决策》以及斯科特·普劳斯的《判断与决策心理学》。
…Decision Making (NDM) Framework (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naturalistic_decision-making). For a comprehensive overview of various approaches/models see Thinking and Deciding by Jonathan Baron and The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making by Scott Plous.
你的问题比较宽泛。著名的《思考，快与慢》讨论了常见的思维误区。还有一本也很棒的是《不确定世界中的理性选择：判断与决策心理学》。我认为，如果有几条证据支持某个理论，同时又有几条反对，人们往往很难综合权衡全部证据。相反，他们通常会抓住某一个显眼的……
Your question is rather general. The famous book "Thinking, Fast and Slow" discusses common mental errors. Also good is "Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making". I'd say that if there are several pieces of evidence in favor of some theory and several against, it is hard for people to weigh the entirety of the evidence. Instead they will often pick one salient…
我觉得 Hastie 和 Dawes 写的《不确定世界中的理性选择：判断与决策心理学》挺受用的。
I found Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making, by Hastie & Dawes, useful.