《日本第一》封面

日本第一

Japan As Number One

Ezra F. Vogel · 初版 1979 年

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  • ……从头到尾读完了这篇文章。写得很棒,非常值得一读。我的年纪足够让我记起当年《Japan as Number One》[1] 刚出版时,英文媒体上对日本铺天盖地的报道。当时的日本看起来势不可挡,就跟现在很多人觉得中国天下无敌一样。但后来日本经历了经济微弱增长、软实力下滑的“失去的十年”……

    …article from beginning to end. This is a good article, and well worth a read. I am old enough to remember the kind of reporting that was done about Japan in the English-language press back when the book Japan as Number One[1] had just been published. Japan used to look unstoppable in the same way that China looks world-beating to many people now. But Japan's "lost decade" of minimal economic growth and declining soft power…

  • 顺便提一句,今晚我扫了一份《Japan as Number One: Lessons for America》(Vogel 1979 年著)的电子版:http://libgen.io/book/index.php?md5=10dd41d874075bdd04be0a46... https://www.dropbox.com/s/rr14mgyq8cnrp32/1979-vogel-japanas... https://mega.nz/#!peoiWAya!siIb9bDw6JbX9-toqTj6bP5iW4VlVTK4b...

    Speaking of which, tonight I made a scan of _Japan as Number One: Lessons for America_, Vogel 1979: http://libgen.io/book/index.php?md5=10dd41d874075bdd04be0a46... https://www.dropbox.com/s/rr14mgyq8cnrp32/1979-vogel-japanas... https://mega.nz/#!peoiWAya!siIb9bDw6JbX9-toqTj6bP5iW4VlVTK4b...

  • ……中国的治理方式和各项政策是不可持续的。我也觉得过去几年里那些对中国“必然崛起”大惊小怪(gee-whiz)的报道,非常像 80 年代对“日本第一”过分乐观的预测。相比中国,美国拥有更根深蒂固的民主体制,也能够公开批评政府,这大概率能帮美国混过难关(muddle through)……

    …governance and policies of China are unsustainable. I too think much of the gee-whiz reporting about China's "inevitable rise" in the last few years is very reminiscent of overoptimistic predictions of "Japan as Number One" back in the 1980s. Most likely, the more entrenched democracy and ability to criticize the government openly that the United States has as compared to China will help the United States muddle through…

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