增长的极限
Limits to Growth
Donella H. Meadows、Dennis Meadows、Jorgen Randers、Dennis L. Meadows · 初版 1972 年
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为什么值得读
- 系统思考领域极佳的入门代表作
- 探讨人口与环境承载力的和平应对思路
- 部分基准模型预测在数十年后仍具印证性
Limits to Growth作为一项关于人类在地球上生存模式与动态的研究指出，如果“一切照旧”继续下去，一个世纪之内就会走向环境与经济崩溃。1972年，该书的结论引发了关于地球承受人类与经济持续扩张能力的全球性争议。40多年后，凭借在28种语言中售出超过1000万册的成绩，这本“蕴含强大思想的薄书”依然是任何试图理解当今全球环境与经济趋势背后复杂关系者的试金石。
Hacker News 上怎么说
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…通过 Alan Weisman 优秀的《Countdown》（倒计时）https://www.amazon.com/Countdown-Last-Best-Future-Earth/dp/0... 了解非强制性降低出生率的政策，并通过《Limits to Growth》（增长的极限）https://www.amazon.com/Limits-Growth-Donella-H-Meadows/dp/19... 认识到人口的至关重要性。这些例子表明，我们可以和平且平稳地降低出生率，以促进和平与繁荣，并缓解其他一切环境…
…noncoercive birthrate reducing policies through Alan Weisman's excellent Countdown https://www.amazon.com/Countdown-Last-Best-Future-Earth/dp/0..., and of the critical importance of population through Limits to Growth https://www.amazon.com/Limits-Growth-Donella-H-Meadows/dp/19.... Those examples show that we can peacefully and stably lower birth rate to increase peace and prosperity and ease all other environmental…
…http://www.worldcat.org/title/energy-transitions-history-req... Manfred Weissenbacher 的《Sources of Power》（共两卷）：http://www.worldcat.org/title/before-oil-the-ages-of-foragin... http://www.worldcat.org/title/oil-age-and-beyond/oclc/837625... 《Limits to Growth》是老经典了：http://www.worldcat.org/title/limits-to-growth/oclc/70551520... 三十年更新版：http://www.worldcat.org/title/limits-to-growth-the-30-year-u... 要了解政治维度的视角…
…http://www.worldcat.org/title/energy-transitions-history-req... Manfred Weissenbacher, Sources of Power, in two volumes: http://www.worldcat.org/title/before-oil-the-ages-of-foragin... http://www.worldcat.org/title/oil-age-and-beyond/oclc/837625... Limits to Growth is the old classic: http://www.worldcat.org/title/limits-to-growth/oclc/70551520... The 30 year update: http://www.worldcat.org/title/limits-to-growth-the-30-year-u... For a view of the political…
…信息。以下是我正在使用/曾使用过的一些资源：该领域的传奇人物 John Sterman 对系统思考（systems thinking）的精彩入门讲解：https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AnTwZVviXyY；Donella Meadows 的《Limits to Growth》（增长的极限）是部经典之作，非常适合用来入门其中的某些概念：https://www.amazon.com/Limits-Growth-Donella-H-Meadows/dp/19... 我的书评：https://www.goodreads.com/review/show/2231577740…
…information. Below are some of the resources i have been using/used: A brilliant introduction to systems thinking by John Sterman who is a legend in the field. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AnTwZVviXyY Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows is a classic and a great introduction to some of the concepts. https://www.amazon.com/Limits-Growth-Donella-H-Meadows/dp/19... My review: https://www.goodreads.com/review/show/2231577740…
《理解媒介》 - 麦克卢汉；《原道：关于不可言说之知的禁忌》（The Book: on the Taboo Against Knowing Who You Are） - 艾伦·瓦茨；《增长的极限》 - 多内拉·梅多斯；《以实玛利》 - 丹尼尔·奎恩
Understanding Media - Marshall McLuhan The Book: on the Taboo Against Knowing Who You Are - Alan Watts The Limits to Growth - Donella Meadows Ishmael - Daniel Quinn
…我认为最可信的数据表明我们已经超载了，在不可再生资源耗尽、甚至某些可再生资源被破坏之前，这种状态还能勉强维持。我觉得最令人信服的理解依然来自《Limits to Growth》（增长的极限）这本书，以及 2014 年的这项研究——它表明在 40 年后，我们的发展轨迹依然非常符合他们当年的“常规发展（business-as-usual）”模型 https://sustainable.unimelb.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/00.... 稳态经济学一直行之有效。…
…numbers I find most believable say we're over it, which can work until we exhaust non-renewables and perhaps destroy some renewables. I find the most compelling understanding still comes from the book Limits to Growth and this 2014 research showing us tracking their business-as-usual model pretty well, 40 years later https://sustainable.unimelb.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/00.... Steady state economics has worked.…
…世界丰富多彩、鼓舞人心。- J.B. MacKinnon 的《The Once and Future World》，描绘了过去大自然曾有多丰富、我们失去了多少，以及我们还将失去多少。- 《Limits to Growth, the 30-year Update》（增长的极限：三十年更新版），虽然快有 20 年历史了，但却是对我们与环境之间关系最彻底的论述。批评者总在批评它，但在我看来，所有的批评其实都是在打稻草人以及基于各种误解…
…world colorfully and inspirationally. - The Once and Future World, by J.B. MacKinnon, for illustrating how much more nature there used to be, how much we've lost, and how much more we stand to lose. - Limits to Growth, the 30-year Update, almost 20 years old, but the most thorough treatment of us and our environment. Critics criticize it, but all the criticism I've seen actually criticizes straw men and other misunderstandings…