私下的真相，公开的谎言
Private Truths, Public Lies
Timur Kuran · 初版 1995 年
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为什么值得读
- 提出偏好伪装概念，解析公众言行不一的机制
- 为革命难以预测的现象提供了清晰的解释模型
- 有助于理解宗教等集体行为背后的根本动机
经济学家 Timur Kuran 认为，preference falsification（偏好伪装）是指在感知到的社会压力下歪曲自身真实意愿的行为。这在日常生活中屡见不鲜，比如当我们觉得宴会食物淡而无味，却依然对主人夸赞美味可口。在 Private Truths, Public Lies 一书中，Kuran 令人信服地论证了这种现象不仅无所不在，而且具有巨大的社会与政治影响。Kuran 汲取了植根于经济学、心理学、社会学和政治学等领域的多元思想传统，提供了一套关于……
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关于那种“暗地里不知道有多少人私下怀疑某个核心主流价值观”的动态机制，有本挺有意思的书——讲“偏好伪装”（preference falsification）：https://www.amazon.com/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Falsificat... 我是在2016年大选后读的，不过书有点老了——大家有什么更新的书推荐吗？
There's an interesting book about that dynamic where some unknown number of people privately doubt a core public value -- "preference falsification": https://www.amazon.com/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Falsificat... I read it after the 2016 election, but it's pretty old -- is there newer work anyone can recommend?
大卫·斯隆·威尔逊的《达尔文的大教堂》（Darwin's Cathedral）让我与宗教达成了和解。我现在有了一套分析框架，能理解宗教为什么会有那些行为举止了。读埃里克·霍弗的《狂热分子》（The True Believer）和帖木尔·库兰的《私人真理，公共谎言》（Private Truths, Public Lies）为我打下了基础！
"Darwin's Cathedral" by David Sloan Wilson allowed me to come to peace with religion. Now I have a framework to understand why religions do what they do. Reading "The True Believer" by Eric Hoffer and "Private Truths, Public Lies" by Timur Kuran prepared the ground for it!
任何对这个话题感兴趣的人，搜搜“preference falsification”（偏好伪装）这个短语应该会觉得挺有意思。如果要找成书的优秀资源，我强烈推荐帖木尔·库兰写的《私人真理，公共谎言：偏好伪装的社会后果》（Private Truths, Public Lies: The Social Consequences of Preference Falsification）。他最近还上了 The Portal 播客，那是个更简短的入门导读。
Anyone interested in this topic might find a search for the phrase 'preference falsification' interesting. For a great resource in book form, I highly recommend "Private Truths, Public Lies: The Social Consequences of Preference Falsification" by Timur Kuran. He was recently in The Portal podcast for an even shorter intro.
……进步研究读书会（Progress Studies Book Club）四月的共读内容，届时我们将针对库兰关于偏好伪装的开创性探讨，竭尽所能表达各自的“私人真理”。读书会信息：https://www.notion.so/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Progress-Studies-Book-Club-d3978762e9034a2a8f745c7e04a9a48a Goodreads：https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1016932.Private_Truths_Public_Lies 亚马逊：https://www.amazon.com/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Falsification/dp/0674707583
…Progress Studies Book Club's reading for April, where we'll do our best to express our private truths on Kuran's groundbreaking discussion of preference falsification. Club Info: https://www.notion.so/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Progress-Studies-Book-Club-d3978762e9034a2a8f745c7e04a9a48a Goodreads: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1016932.Private_Truths_Public_Lies Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Falsification/dp/0674707583
帖木尔·库兰的书《私人真理，公共谎言：偏好伪装的社会后果》（Private Truths, Public Lies: The Social Consequences of Preference Falsification）为这个话题提供了一个很好的分析模型。它解释了为什么革命总是极难预测。因为群体成员的真实偏好……
The book "Private Truths, Public Lies: The Social Consequences of Preference Falsification" by Timur Kuran offers a good model on this topic. It explains why revolutions are so hard to predict. Because the true preferences of members in…
帖木尔·库兰的《私人真理，公共谎言》（Private Truths, Public Lies）很值得一读。他在书中提出了“偏好伪装”（Preference falsification）理论。https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preference_falsification
Private Truths, Public Lies by Timur Kuran is a good read. In the book he gave the theory of Preference falsification. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preference_falsification