随机漫步的傻瓜
Fooled by randomness
Nassim Nicholas Taleb · 初版 2001 年
194人推荐
307位读者提及
403次提及
为什么值得读
- 彻底颠覆看待世界与金融市场的思维方式
- 剖析认知偏差助你在交易和决策中保持理性
- 语言引人入胜且充满发人深省的独到观点
“【Taleb 是】华尔街主要的异见人士……【《Fooled By Randomness》】对于华尔街传统智慧的冲击，大抵相当于马丁·路德的九十五条论纲之于天主教会。”——Malcolm Gladwell，《The New Yorker》。这部口碑载道的现象级力作终于推出平装本，它将改变你对市场乃至整个世界的认知方式。本书探讨的是运气：更确切地说，是我们如何在个人与职业经历中看待运气。在商业世界这个将运气误认为技能的最典型舞台背景下，《Fooled by Randomness》……
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纳西姆·塔勒布的《随机漫步的傻瓜》（Fooled by Randomness）可能是我迄今为止读过的影响最大的书。它彻底颠覆了我的世界观。但与此同时，它也让生活变得没那么有意义了。有什么书可以尽量减轻这种……
Fooled by Randomness by Nicholas Taleb is probably the most influential book I have read so far. It completely changed my world view. But at the same time it made life less meaningful. Are there any books to minimize the…
……对亏损的感知比对收益强烈得多。每天盯着你的股票至少会增加你的心理压力，甚至可能打乱你的决策。（这个例子出自非常精彩的《随机漫步的傻瓜》[2]，我向任何想做交易、甚至只是想了解金融市场的人推荐这本书。）我把精力集中在自己真正具有优势的领域，我也鼓励其他人这样做。……
…the losses more strongly than the gains. Looking at your stocks every day will at least add to your stress levels, and maybe your decisions will get thrown off. (This example is taken from the excellent Fooled by Randomness [2], which I recommend to anybody who wants to trade, or even understand the financial markets.) I focus my energies on areas where I have a an actual advantage, and I encourage others to do the same.…
……与这本略有渊源，因为它们都涉及到了人类的思维方式。巴里·施瓦茨——《选择的悖论》；史蒂芬·平克——《心智探奇》；纳西姆·塔勒布——《黑天鹅》以及《随机漫步的傻瓜》；伦纳德·蒙洛迪诺——《醉汉的脚步》（和《随机漫步的傻瓜》挺像的）；卡罗尔·德韦克——《终身成长：重新定义成功的思维模式》；尼尔·波兹曼 / 安德鲁·波兹曼——《娱乐至死》；罗尔夫……
…were loosely related to this one in the way that they all refer to the way people think. Barry Schwartz - The Paradox of Choice Steven Pinker - How the Mind Works Nassim Taleb - The Black Swan; and Fooled by Randomness Leonard Mlodinov - The Drunkard's Walk (quite similar to Fooled by Randomness) Carol Dweck - Mindset: The New Psychology of Success Neil Postman / Andrew Postman - Amusing Ourselves to Death Rolf…
……“改变你对自己思考方式的认知”。强烈推荐。早川一会的《语言行动》；莫提默·艾德勒的《如何阅读一本书》；爱德华·塔夫特的《视觉解释》（Envisioning Information）；纳西姆·塔勒布的《随机漫步的傻瓜》。E. W. 博维尔的《1780-1830年的英国乡村生活》前阵子 pg 推荐过。今年到目前为止我最喜欢的是基思·斯塔诺维奇的《智力测试测不出什么》（2009）。http://yalepress.yale.edu/yupbooks/book.asp?isbn=9780300123852……
…change the way you think about the way you think." Highly recommended. Language in Thought and Action by S. I. Hayakawa. How to Read a Book by Mortimer Adler. Envisioning Information by Edward Tufte. Fooled By Randomness by Nassim Taleb. E. W. Bovill's English Country Life 1780-1830 was recommended by pg a while ago. My favorite so far this year is What Intelligence Tests Miss by Keith Stanovich (2009). http://yalepress.yale.edu/yupbooks/book.asp?isbn=9780300123852…
……在过去几年里对我的思维产生了极大的影响。我强烈建议凡是你能找得到的都去读读。--- 作者：纳西姆·塔勒布，著作：* 《黑天鹅》 * 《随机漫步的傻瓜》。塔勒布改变了我看待世界的方式。他的书读起来很有乐趣，观点也发人深省。接下来这一年我会继续读完他的其余作品。--- 作者：罗伯特……
…have had a tremendous amount of impact on my thinking in the past couple years. I highly recommend reading everything you can get your hands on. --- Author: Nassim Taleb Books: * The Black Swan * Fooled by Randomness Taleb has changed my way of looking at the world. His books are enjoyable to read, and his ideas thought provoking. I will continue to read the rest of his books over the next year. --- Author: Robert…
* 《随机漫步的傻瓜》（N·N·塔勒布）：塔勒布是个性格复杂的人，但这本书给了我一套思考长尾和不确定事件的启发式思维（heuristic），这是我自己从概率论教科书里绝对推导不出来的。……
* Fooled By Randomness (NN Taleb): Taleb is a complicated personality, but this book gave me a heuristic for thinking about long-tails and uncertain events that I could never have derived myself from a probability textbook.…