……学会识别各种“认知困难”——像框架效应这类认知偏差，以及人身攻击这类常见谬误。除了刷逻辑题，你还需要一本优秀的综述性书籍，Robyn Dawes 的《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World》是我能找到的最好的一本。
…learning to recognize various "difficulties" - cognitive biases, like framing issues, and common fallacies, like ad hominems. Besides practicing logic puzzles, you need a good overview book, Robyn Dawes, Rational Choice in an Uncertain World, is the single best volume I have found.
我觉得 Reid Hastie 和 Robyn M. Dawes 合著的《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgement and Decision Making》在这个话题上非常棒。我读的是第一版，不过好像现在出第 2 版了。
I found "Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgement and Decision Making" by Reid Hastie and Robyn M. Dawes very good on this topic. I read the first edition, but I believe there is a 2nd one now.
……Bremmer 和 Preston Keat 写的，关于政治风险以及如何缓解或管理它。想想革命、监管变动、选举等以及它们如何影响市场。我发现的另一块宝藏是 Robyn M. Dawes 的书《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World》。它有点年代感了（我读的第一版是 1988 年的），但涵盖了丹尼尔·卡尼曼和阿莫斯·特沃斯基等人早期的许多研究。作为在这本书出版之后才出生的人……
…Bremmer and Preston Keat, which is about political risk and how to mitigate or manage it. Think revolutions, regulatory changes, elections etc. and how they affect markets. Another gem I found was the book Rational Choice in an Uncertain World by Robyn M. Dawes. It is a bit dated (the first version that I read is from 1988), but covers a lot of early research by people like Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. As someone born after the book was…
你的问题有点太宽泛了。著名书籍《思考，快与慢》探讨了常见的思维误区。还有一本也很棒的是《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making》。我觉得如果有好几条证据支持某个理论，同时又有好几条证据反对它，人们往往很难去权衡整体的……
Your question is rather general. The famous book "Thinking, Fast and Slow" discusses common mental errors. Also good is "Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making". I'd say that if there are several pieces of evidence in favor of some theory and several against, it is hard for people to weigh the entirety of the…
……修改。后者往往仍然包含第一次回复里的某些代码/想法，而这些其实并不一定需要。人类也是一样的。我们会执念于自己脑子里已经冒出来的想法。[1] --- [1] 例如《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World》（1988）中解释道：“Norman R. F. Maier 指出，当一个群体面临问题时，成员在刚开始讨论问题时本能的倾向就是直接提出可能的解决方案。结果，……
…change. The latter tends to still contain some code/ideas from the first response that aren't necessarily needed. Humans do the same thing. We get stuck on ideas we've already had.[1] --- [1] e.g. Rational Choice in an Uncertain World (1988) explains: "Norman R. F. Maier noted that when a group faces a problem, the natural tendency of its members is to propose possible solutions as they begin to discuss the problem. Consequently, the…
……学会识别各种“认知困难”——像框架效应这类认知偏差，以及人身攻击这类常见谬误。除了刷逻辑题，你还需要一本优秀的综述性书籍，Robyn Dawes 的《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World》是我能找到的最好的一本。
…learning to recognize various "difficulties" - cognitive biases, like framing issues, and common fallacies, like ad hominems. Besides practicing logic puzzles, you need a good overview book, Robyn Dawes, Rational Choice in an Uncertain World, is the single best volume I have found.
我觉得 Reid Hastie 和 Robyn M. Dawes 合著的《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgement and Decision Making》在这个话题上非常棒。我读的是第一版，不过好像现在出第 2 版了。
I found "Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgement and Decision Making" by Reid Hastie and Robyn M. Dawes very good on this topic. I read the first edition, but I believe there is a 2nd one now.
……Bremmer 和 Preston Keat 写的，关于政治风险以及如何缓解或管理它。想想革命、监管变动、选举等以及它们如何影响市场。我发现的另一块宝藏是 Robyn M. Dawes 的书《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World》。它有点年代感了（我读的第一版是 1988 年的），但涵盖了丹尼尔·卡尼曼和阿莫斯·特沃斯基等人早期的许多研究。作为在这本书出版之后才出生的人……
…Bremmer and Preston Keat, which is about political risk and how to mitigate or manage it. Think revolutions, regulatory changes, elections etc. and how they affect markets. Another gem I found was the book Rational Choice in an Uncertain World by Robyn M. Dawes. It is a bit dated (the first version that I read is from 1988), but covers a lot of early research by people like Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. As someone born after the book was…
我觉得 Hastie 和 Dawes 写的《不确定世界中的理性选择：判断与决策心理学》挺受用的。
I found Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making, by Hastie & Dawes, useful.
你的问题有点太宽泛了。著名书籍《思考，快与慢》探讨了常见的思维误区。还有一本也很棒的是《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making》。我觉得如果有好几条证据支持某个理论，同时又有好几条证据反对它，人们往往很难去权衡整体的……
Your question is rather general. The famous book "Thinking, Fast and Slow" discusses common mental errors. Also good is "Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making". I'd say that if there are several pieces of evidence in favor of some theory and several against, it is hard for people to weigh the entirety of the…
……修改。后者往往仍然包含第一次回复里的某些代码/想法，而这些其实并不一定需要。人类也是一样的。我们会执念于自己脑子里已经冒出来的想法。[1] --- [1] 例如《Rational Choice in an Uncertain World》（1988）中解释道：“Norman R. F. Maier 指出，当一个群体面临问题时，成员在刚开始讨论问题时本能的倾向就是直接提出可能的解决方案。结果，……
…change. The latter tends to still contain some code/ideas from the first response that aren't necessarily needed. Humans do the same thing. We get stuck on ideas we've already had.[1] --- [1] e.g. Rational Choice in an Uncertain World (1988) explains: "Norman R. F. Maier noted that when a group faces a problem, the natural tendency of its members is to propose possible solutions as they begin to discuss the problem. Consequently, the…