未来一百年
The Next 100 Years
George Friedman · 初版 2008 年
2人推荐
15位读者提及
17次提及
为什么值得读
- 采用类似前美国情报机构的分析方法
- 剖析俄罗斯地缘行动背后的内在逻辑
- 从人口结构视角解释中东动荡原因
“常规的分析往往极度缺乏想象力。它将转瞬即逝的浮云当作永恒，却对全世界眼皮底下发生的强劲而长期的巨变视而不见。”——George Friedman在他期待已久且极具启发性的新书中，George Friedman将目光投向未来，对二十一世纪全球可能迎来的种种变革作出了清晰而极具可读性的预测。他阐释了未来战争将在何处以及因何爆发（以及将以何种形式进行），哪些国家将获得或失去经济与政治权力，以及新技术与
Hacker News 上怎么说
正在加载完整评论……
大家可以随时去看看 Stratfor 的网站（我提过一个能完全免费访问的插件），或者看 George Friedman 的《未来 100 年》（The Next 100 Years）这本书。Stratfor 雇佣了许多前美国情报机构的人员，他们用同样的地缘政治分析方法为企业客户服务（虽然没有机密数据），他们的观点非常接近……
Feel free to read Stratfor's site (I named an extension that allows full free access) or George Friedman's "The Next 100 Years" book. Stratfor employs many ex-US-intelligence-agency people who use the same geopolitical analysis methods for a corporate audience (though without classified data) and their views are a close approximation…
……偏自由派。如果你想深入了解世界各国的地缘政治行动，一个很好的切入点是 George Friedman 的两本书之一（《未来十年》（The Next Decade）和《未来 100 年》（The Next 100 Years））。这些书令人信服地解释了俄罗斯为何会采取目前的行动、为什么我们需要与伊朗合作，以及中东动荡背后的人口结构原因。我认为两者的区别在于……
…as liberal. If you want a good understanding of the geopolitical actions of the countries of the world, a good place to start is with one of the two books by George Friedman (The Next Decade, and The Next 100 Years). These books give compelling reasons why Russia is doing what it is doing, why we need to work with Iran, and the demographic reasons for turmoil in the middle east. I think the difference between the…
……地区。所以没错，如果它觉得那受到了威胁，肯定会站出来发声的。这并不是说这是好事还是坏事。完全取决于你的立场以及你生活在哪个国家。[1] https://www.amazon.com/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/07...
…region. So yes, it will say something if it feels like that is under threat. Not saying this is a good or bad thing. Depends on your perspective and what country you live in. [1] https://www.amazon.com/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/07...
供参考（FWIW），George Friedman（来自 STRATFOR）早就预言了这一点，只不过他认为中国的内爆规模将是真正灾难性的。所以他们可能仍处于一个更深的深渊边缘。参见：《未来 100 年：21 世纪大预测》（The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century）https://www.amazon.com/dp/0767923057
FWIW, George Friedman (of STRATFOR) predicted this, except he believed the implosion of China would be on a truly catastrophic scale. So they could still be at the edge of a much deeper hole. See: The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century https://www.amazon.com/dp/0767923057
版权所有 2009，《未来 100 年：21 世纪大预测》（The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century）https://www.amazon.com/dp/0767923057/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_api_e-6u...
Copyright 2009 The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century https://www.amazon.com/dp/0767923057/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_api_e-6u...
Michael Pollan 的《捍卫食物》（In Defense of Food，极好；最近还看了《食品公司》（Food, Inc.））George Friedman 的《未来 100 年》（The Next 100 Years，挺有意思；别人送我的整蛊礼物）目前正在读：David Foster Wallace 的《无尽的玩笑》（Infinite Jest）
In Defense of Food by Michael Pollan (excellent; recently saw Food, Inc. as well) The Next 100 Years by George Friedman (amusing; was given to me as a gag gift) Currently reading: Infinite Jest by David Foster Wallace