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大浪

The Great Wave

David Hackett Fischer · 初版 1996 年

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“物价史就是变迁史,”David Hackett Fischer 在这部纵览从中世纪至今的西方历史巨著中写道。他的主要研究资料是物价记录,对于研究历史变迁而言,这类数据比其他任何量化数据都更为丰富。Fischer 利用这些资料构建了11世纪至今西方历史中物价波动的叙事。他发现,物价在这一漫长历史时期内总体呈上升趋势,但大部分涨幅发生在四次重大的通胀浪潮中——他称之为 price-revolutions……

Hacker News 上怎么说

  • 经济学类:《大浪潮:价格革命与历史的起伏沉浮》(The Great Wave: Price Revolutions and the Ebb and Flow of History),David Hackett Fischer 著。这本书简直神准,极具先见之明。写于1997年,几乎预测了当下的金融局势。如果你想……

    Economics: The Great Wave: Price Revolutions and the Ebb and Flow of History. David Hackett Fisher. This book is incredibly, incredibly prescient. Written in 1997, almost predicts the current financial situation. If you want…

  • ……主要是因为纵观历史,专制独裁者都很难克制住自己不去搞货币贬值。建议读读这个来获得一些宏观的历史视角:http://www.amazon.com/The-Great-Wave-Revolutions-History/dp/...

    …mostly because despots have had a really hard time keeping themselves from debasing the currency over history. I suggest reading this for some broad historical perspective: http://www.amazon.com/The-Great-Wave-Revolutions-History/dp/...

  • ……市场可能会被解读为暗示人类永远不会吸取过去的教训,或者在宏观经济层面上永远不会拥有自我意识。然而,David Hackett Fischer 在《The Great Wave》(牛津大学出版社,1999年)中呈现的历史研究,以缜密的论证表明,人类历史上的周期性危机波动性正在稳步减弱,这表明某种全物种范围内的……

    …market may be interpreted to suggest that mankind will never learn from its past mistakes, or become self-aware in a macro-economic sense. The historical study presented in David Hackett Fischer's The Great Wave (Oxford University Press, 1999), however, presents a meticulously argued case that the periodic crises in human history are becoming steadily less volatile, which suggests that some kind of species-wide…

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