《风险之书》封面

风险之书

The book of risks

Larry Laudan · 初版 1994 年

2位读者提及
2次提及

Hacker News 上怎么说

  • ……超过 50 岁 [1]。如果你属于典型的 HN 用户画像(30 岁以下),那你死于 Covid-19 的风险要远低于这里报告的基准线。我想把这个数据放到全局来对比一下。根据《The Book of Risks》(第 8 章;年度风险)[2],你在普通年份里的总死亡概率是 1/115(每 10 万人中约 870 人),被谋杀的概率是 1/11,000(每 10 万人中 9 人)。而死于意外事故的概率……

    …over age 50 [1]. If you're in the typical HN demographic (<30 yo), your risk of mortality from Covid-19 is much lower than what is reported for baseline here. I want to put this in perspective. Per The Book of Risks (chapter 8; annual risks) [2], your overall chance of dying in a typical year is 1 in 115 (~870 per 100,000) Your chance of being murdered is 1 in 11,000 (9 per 100,000). The chance you'll die of an accident…

  • 风险,到处都是风险。已故科学哲学家 Larry Laudan 写过一本小书——《The Book of Risks: Fascinating Facts About the Chances We Take Every Day》

    Risks, there are risks everywhere. Late Philosopher of Science, Larry Laudan wrote a little book--The Book of Risks: Fascinating Facts About the Chances We Take Every Day

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