公民抵抗
Civil Resistance
Erica Chenoweth · 初版 2019 年
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“Civil resistance是一种集体行动形式，旨在不使用或威胁使用人身暴力的情况下改变政治、社会或经济现状。它具有组织性、公开性，在手段和目的上都明确采取非暴力形式。本书将向你介绍历史上关于civil resistance运动如何形成、制定策略、组织和动员的核心启示。本章将带你领略数千年来civil resistance令人瞩目的历史，但也会探讨围绕它至今仍存的某些关键争议……”
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并不属实。（比如）去读读 Erica Chenoweth 关于公民抵抗的详实实证研究吧。非暴力抵抗在现实世界中的成功率明显高于武装起义。它还有一个巨大的优势，就是留下的集体创伤更少，从而让革命后的社会……
Untrue. Read (for example) Erica Chenoweth's detailed empirical work on civil resistance. Nonviolent resistance has a considerably higher real-world chance of success than armed uprising. It also has the huge advantage of leaving behind less collective trauma, giving post-revolutionary society…
……Jason Kaufman 写的差异，两个表面看似相同的邻国，在文化和政府方面却走过了完全不同的发展道路。（我是加拿大人。）说到政府：Erica Chenoweth 写的《Civil resistance: what everyone needs to know》。似乎在推动社会变革方面，暴力/武力通常不如非暴力有效。《The week: a history of the unnatural rhythms that…
…differences by Jason Kaufman, two seemingly-the-same neighbouring countries that have had different development paths when it comes to culture and government. (I'm Canadian.) Speaking of government: Civil resistance: what everyone needs to know by Erica Chenoweth. Seems violence/force is generally a less effective way to affect change in society than non-violence. The week: a history of the unnatural rhythms that…
这项研究的描述提到，它是和暴力运动进行对比的。表面上看，暴力抗议者也会遭遇“直接人间蒸发”：> 在 1900 到 2006 年间，非暴力公民抵抗运动的成功率是暴力运动的两倍。Erica Chenoweth，哈佛肯尼迪学院公共政策教授、拉德克利夫高等研究院 Susan S. and Kenneth L. Wallach 讲席教授……
The study's description says it makes a comparison against violent campaigns. Ostensibly, violent protesters also suffer from "just disappearing": > Between 1900-2006, campaigns of nonviolent civil resistance were twice as successful as violent campaigns. Erica Chenoweth, Professor of Public Policy at Harvard Kennedy School and a Susan S. and Kenneth L. Wallach Professor at the Radcliffe Institute for Advanced…
……https://web.stanford.edu/group/peacejustice/Gelderloos-Failu... 看起来他的观点是策略多样性比单打独斗的非暴力更有效。Chenoweth 的研究方法如果我没理解错的话，是把大量公民抵抗运动划分为暴力和非暴力两类，然后比较这两组的成功率。可能他们俩都没错：策略多样性确实能赢，但更有可能获胜的情况是，这种多样性……
…https://web.stanford.edu/group/peacejustice/Gelderloos-Failu... It seems he's arguing that a diversity of tactics is more effective than nonviolence alone. Chenoweth's methodology if I understand correctly was to divide a lot of civil resistance campaigns into violent and nonviolent, and compare the success of the two groupings. It's possible that they're both right, that a diversity of tactics wins, but is more likely to win when that diversity…
> 虽然甘地的哲学理论上听起来很美好，但在现实场景中可能并不总是最切实际的。在她的书《Civil Resistance: What Everyone Needs to Know》中：* https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/44096650-civil-resistanc... * https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/10056014-why-civil-resis... Erica Chenoweth 有一个附录列出了……
> While Gandhi's philosophy sounds nice in theory, it may not always be the most practical in real-world scenarios. In her book Civil Resistance: What Everyone Needs to Know: * https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/44096650-civil-resistanc... * https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/10056014-why-civil-resis... Erica Chenoweth has an appendix listing…