《体育博彩的逻辑》封面

体育博彩的逻辑

The Logic Of Sports Betting

Ed Miller、Matthew Davidow · 初版 2019 年

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Hacker News 上怎么说

  • 埃德·米勒(Ed Miller)写的《体育博彩的逻辑》(The Logic of Sports Betting)可能是一个不错的起点。彩池赔率(Parimutuel)对比庄家赔率,对于理解赔率在不同类型市场中如何变化是个很好的入门切入点。蒙特卡洛模拟(Monte Carlo simulations)在推导……时会非常有用

    The Logic of Sports Betting by Ed Miller is probably a good start. Parimutuel vs house odds is probably a good start in seeing how odds change in different types of markets. Monte Carlo simulations will be useful in coming up with…

  • ……我们最需要的是让大家真正理解贝叶斯定理(Bayes theorem)。我赞同。如果你想自学怎么下注能更聪明一点、少输一点,我可以推荐《体育博彩的逻辑》(The Logic of Sports Betting)[0] 及其续作《拦截》(Interception)[1]。我也很喜欢丹·亚伯拉罕斯(Dan Abrams)的那本书[2],里面讲的是预期增长(expected growth),而不仅仅是期望值(expected value)。这些可不是什么一夜暴富的法子,但能让你搞明白……

    …we need people to really understand Bayes theorem more than anything else. I agree. If you want to start your own education in how to bet a little smarter and lose a little less, I can recommend The Logic of Sports Betting [0] and its sequel Interception [1]. I also like Dan Abrams' book [2], that talks about expected growth, not just exepcted value. These are not get rich quick schemes, but it will give you an idea of…

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