不充分的均衡

Hacker News 上怎么说

• slack3r · 2018 年

  总的来说，FDA 属于过度监管而不是监管不足。一条评论太短概括不完具体原因，但感兴趣的人可以去看 Eliezer Yudkowsky 的《不充分均衡》（Inadequate Equilibria）——里面有段长达 50 页的人类与外星访客关于 FDA 的对话。

  In general, the FDA over-regulates rather than under regulates. A comment is too short to summarize the reasons why, but I would refer interested people to Eliezer Yudkowsky's Inadequate Equilibria ― there is a 50 page dialogue between two humans and an alien visitor on the FDA.

• monkeypizza · 2017 年

  这和 Eliezer Yudkowsky 最近的书《不充分均衡》（Inadequate Equilibria）[0] 讲的是同一个主题，Scott Aaronson 在这里写了书评 [1]。那本书很好地解释了为什么不是每一种低效都能被消除——因为要跳出一个糟糕的 Nash equilibrium（纳什均衡）需要协调一致的改变，……

  This is the same topic of Eliezer Yudkowsky's recent book "Inadequate Equilibria" [0], reviewed by Scott Aaronson here [1]. That book does a good job explaining why not every inefficiency can be eliminated - because getting out of a bad nash equilibrium requires coordinated changes,…

• OscarCunningham · 2018 年

  这看起来有点不公平。认同 Yudkowsky 的局外人更有可能变成局内人。总之（作为局内人说一句），《不充分均衡》（Inadequate Equilibria）和 Yudkowsky 关于 AI 的理论并没有交集。它讨论的是如何分辨哪些情况下该相信自己的直觉，而哪些情况下该随大流。

  This seems a bit unfair. Outsiders who agree with Yudkowsky are more likely to become insiders. Anyway (speaking as an insider) Inadequate Equilibria doesn't intersect with Yudkowsky's theories about AI. It's about how to tell the differences between the circumstances where you should trust your instincts vs those where you should go with the crowd.

• peacetreefrog · 2018 年

  ……关于它们的可利用预测。股票价格通常从任意时刻开始走出“随机漫步”（random walk）。关于何时是这种情况、何时不是，Eliezer Yudkowsky 的《不充分均衡》（Inadequate Equilibria）里有一段很有趣的讨论，写得挺不错：https://equilibriabook.com/

  …exploitable predictions about them. Prices for equities generally take a "random walk" from where they are at any given moment. For an interesting discussion about when and when this isn't the case the book Inadequate Equilibria by Eliezer Yudkowsky is pretty good. https://equilibriabook.com/

• jger15 · 2018 年

  很喜欢下面这些：大卫·多伊奇《无穷的开始》、李翊云《亲爱的朋友，从我的生命写进你的生命》、J.D. 万斯《乡下人的悲歌》、Eliezer Yudkowsky《不充分均衡》（Inadequate Equilibria）、埃莱娜·费兰特“那不勒斯四部曲”、埃丝特·佩瑞尔《危险关系》、马克斯·泰格马克《穿越平行宇宙》、金·斯科特《彻底坦率》、杰弗里·韦斯特《规模》、第七……

  Enjoyed the below: The Beginning of Infinity - David Deutsch Dear Friend, From My Life I Write To You in Your Life - Yiyun Li Hillbilly Elegy - JD Vance Inadequate Equilibria - Eliezer Yudkowsky The Neapolitan Novels - Elena Ferrante Mating In Captivity - Esther Perel Our Mathematical Universe - Max Tegmark Radical Candor - Kim Scott Scale - Geoffrey West The Seventh…

• dpq · 2018 年

  协同很难，否则早就搞定了。如果你想更好地理解这种情况为什么会出现、又为什么无法被轻易优化，推荐读读 Eliezer Yudkowsky 的《不充分均衡》（Inadequate Equilibria）https://equilibriabook.com/。

  Coordination is hard, otherwise this would already have happened. I recommend "Inadequate equilibria" by Eliezer Yudkowsky https://equilibriabook.com/ if you want a better grasp on how and why such situations arise and cannot be easily optimized.

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