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The Premonition

Michael Lewis · 初版 2021 年

3人推荐
7位读者提及
8次提及

展现了三个群体——一位加利福尼亚州公共卫生官员、一位机缘巧合介入的病毒学家,以及一个总统级别的流行病特别工作组——如何联合起来,共同应对包括 COVID 在内的病毒感染以及涵盖 Center for Disease Control 在内的美国公共卫生体系。

Hacker News 上怎么说

  • ……是否愿意让你成为公民。而不是某个远在天边的官僚。这篇书评里隐约提到了支持你所倾向的“需要更多专业能力”的论据,出自我觉得是年度最佳图书的、Michael Lewis 写的《The Premonition》。他们引用了一本书叫《10% Less Democracy》。短期来看这确实有其合理之处——但长远来看,我宁愿做个瑞士人。(而且我会站在乐意……的那一边

    …whether they want you to become a citizen. Not some far away bureaucrat. An argument for your stated preference of more expertise is hinted at in this review in what I think is the book of the year, “The Premonition” by Michael Lewis. They cite a book “10% Less Democracy.” There is some merit to this in the short run—but in the long run, I would rather be Swiss. (And I would be on the side where I would be happy…

  • 是的。如果你想深入了解整件事是怎么发生的以及带来了什么影响,Michael Lewis 的《The Premonition》基本上通篇都在讲这个

    Yes. If you want a really good explanation of how it happened and the effects it’s practically the subject of The Premonition by Michael Lewis

  • ……美国的医疗体系。基本上差不多每个县都有独立的公共卫生官员,而他们跟 CDC 之间几乎没有任何协调。Michael Lewis 的《The Premonition》这本书让人大开眼界,展现了美国的公共卫生体系到底有多拉跨。而且不只是他一个人这么看,就连 CDC 的主管本周也呼吁改革美国的公共卫生体系 (https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/21/rochelle-walensky-c...).……

    …health system in the USA. There's basically an independent public health officer for practically every county, and there's very little coordination between them and the CDC. Michael Lewis' book "The Premonition" is eye-opening to how dysfunctional public health is in the US. And it's not like he's alone, even the head of the CDC this week called for a reform of the public health system in the US (https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/21/rochelle-walensky-c...).…

  • 他们确实这么干了。而且干了不止一次。另外,许多深度揭露和复盘分析也都在进行中。《The Premonition》https://www.amazon.com/Premonition-Pandemic-Story-Michael-Le... 《Uncontrolled Spread: Why COVID-19 Crushed Us and How We Can Defeat the Next Pandemic》https://www.amazon.com/Preparing-Inevitable-Normal-Survive-E...……

    They did. Repeatedly. Further, many exposés and post mortems are in progress. The Premonition https://www.amazon.com/Premonition-Pandemic-Story-Michael-Le... Uncontrolled Spread: Why COVID-19 Crushed Us and How We Can Defeat the Next Pandemic https://www.amazon.com/Preparing-Inevitable-Normal-Survive-E...…

  • “……但该机构并不是一个危机应对组织。它缺乏调动快速反应的基础设施,而且过于因循守旧、受流程驱动,根本没法快速行动。” 这与我在 Michael Lewis 的《The Premonition》里读到的内容完全吻合

    …But the agency isn’t a crisis organization. It lacks the infrastructure to mobilize a rapid response and is too hidebound and process driven to move quickly." This resonates with what I read in "The Premonition" by Michael Lewis

  • ……它是如何搞砸的,这显然超出了他们能影响的范围。尽量保持观点一致吧。如果你想找点素材来批评他们的计划到底是什么,Michael Lewis 的《The Premonition》整本书都在讲那场彻头彻尾的烂摊子。他们最大的问题在于,他们根本就不是一个为了实际对抗疫情而建立的机构,反倒试图先去研究它。然而,这些糟糕的计划根本无所谓……

    …how it failed, which is clearly outside of what they can affect. Try to stick to one opinion. If you want some information about things to criticize about what their plan was, Michael Lewis' 'The Premonition' is a whole book about that shit show. Their biggest problem was that they were not an agency built to actually fight a pandemic, but tried to study it first. However, none of these bad plans even matter…

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