巨型工程与风险
Megaprojects and Risk
Bent Flyvbjerg、Nils Bruzelius、Werner Rothengatter · 初版 2003 年
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“《Megaprojects and Risk》对大型项目现象进行了首次详尽考察。该书揭示了数十亿美元级大型项目的推动者如何系统性且自私自利地误导议会、公众和媒体，以促成项目的批准和建设。它异乎寻常深入地展示了获得审批的配方乃是一剂不健康的混合物：低估成本、高估收益、贬低环境影响并夸大经济发展效应。这导致项目极具风险，但风险却被对议员们掩盖
Hacker News 上怎么说
正在加载完整评论……
如果你对大型公共项目的成本效益分析感兴趣，《超级项目与风险》（Megaprojects and Risk）绝对是必读书。https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Megaprojects_and_Risk
If you’re interested in cost benefit analysis of large public projects, Megaprojects and Risk is a must-read. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Megaprojects_and_Risk
……像私有化这类的隐义。所谓的“私有化效率更高”这一理论，根本没有任何令人信服的实质证据。即便来自支持者最有利的证据（比如本特·弗利夫比亚的《超级项目与风险：雄心的剖析》，关于这个主题他还有另外3本书），也表明民营项目和公共项目表现半斤八两。它们超支的概率差不多，失败的概率也差不多。其他更具批判性的……
…implications like privatization. There's no persuasive material evidence of the purported theory that privatization is more efficient. The most favorable evidence from the supporters (for instance, Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition by Bent Flyvbjerg he has 3 more on the topic) say that private and public projects are about the same. They go over budget about the same and fail about the same. Other more critical…