美国增长的兴衰
Rise and Fall of American Growth
Robert J. Gordon · 初版 2016 年
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为什么值得读
- 细致还原1870年起美国日常生活与技术变迁
- 探讨寿命提升等GDP无法衡量的真实生活福祉
- 以详实数据论证全球经济增长乏力与回报递减
美国自内战结束至今经济增长的轨迹与动力。
Hacker News 上怎么说
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Rise and Fall of American Growth
Robert J. Gordon · 初版 2016 年
美国自内战结束至今经济增长的轨迹与动力。
正在加载完整评论……
……一直在通过普林斯顿大学出版社主编一个相当不错的系列丛书，涵盖了他本人的书，还有 Gregory Clark（加州大学戴维斯分校，《告别施舍》）、Robert J. Gordon（西北大学，《美国增长的起落》）等人的著作。强烈推荐。我一直在研究技术机制的动态变化，大致归纳出了九类：1. 燃料、储能与原动机。2. 材料、性质以及……
…been editing a rather attractive series through Princeton University Press on the subject, including books by himself, Gregory Clark (UC Davis, A Farewell to Alms), Robert J. Gordon (Northwestern, The Rise and Fall of American Growth), and others. Recommended. I've been looking at the dynamics of technological mechanism, and am settling on roughly nine: 1. Fuels, energy storage, and prime movers. 2. Materials, properties, and…
……雅尼斯·瓦鲁法基斯的《全球牛头怪：美国、欧洲与全球经济的未来》[1]；约瑟夫·E·斯蒂格利茨的《不平等的代价：当今分裂的社会如何危及我们的未来》[2]；罗伯特·J·戈登的《美国增长的起落：内战以来的美国生活水平》[3] 1. https://www.amazon.com/Global-Minotaur-America-Economic-Cont... 2. https://www.amazon.com/Price-Inequality-Divided-Society-Enda...…
…Global Minotaur: America, Europe and the Future of the Global Economy by Yanis Varoufakis [1] The Price of Inequality: How Today's Divided Society Endangers Our Future By Stiglitz, Joseph E. [2] The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living since the Civil War by Robert J. Gordon [3] 1. https://www.amazon.com/Global-Minotaur-America-Economic-Cont... 2. https://www.amazon.com/Price-Inequality-Divided-Society-Enda...…
……撇开不谈），劳动生产率应该在快速增长，但这都没发生。罗伯特·戈登在《美国增长的起落：内战以来的美国生活水平》一书中，基于充分证据详尽记述了美国经济的发展历程，科技界那些关于我们正生活在某种飞速变革时代的宏大论调，其实几乎没有任何证据支撑。在很大程度上，那……
…aside), and labour productivity would be growing fast, none of which is happening. Robert Gordon gives an expansive, evidence-based account of the development of American economic development in The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living Since the Civil War, and there's virtually no evidence for the grandiose claims made by the tech industry that we're living in some sort of era of rapid change. That for the most…
……今天无论在质还是量上都是如此。（如今科技或制药领域的边际新创新，往往比仅仅几十年前贵上大约 10 到 50 倍）。相关阅读：罗伯特·J·戈登的《美国增长的起落：内战以来的美国生活水平》
…today, both qualitatively as well as quantitavely. (new marginal innovations in tech or pharmaceuticals today tend to be about 10-50x more expensive than just a few decades ago). Relevant reading: The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living Since the Civil War Robert J Gordon
……通信网络（家里的电话、广播电台）在 1870 年之前根本不存在，但在女王 1922 年出生前的十到二十年间得到了迅速普及。Robert J. Gordon 在 2015 年出的一本书《美国增长的起落》（The Rise and Fall of American Growth），极其详尽且引人入胜地梳理了这段历史。1870 年普通美国人的日常生活，从倒夜壶开始，到就着烛光早早入睡结束，现在甚至都难以想象……
…communication networks ( phones in houses, radio ) did not exist before 1870, but were rapidly being deployed in the decade or two before the Queen's birth in 1922.. A book by Robert J. Gordon from 2015, "The Rise and Fall of American Growth," goes through this in great and fascinating detail. The life of an everyday American in 1870, starting off with the chamber pot and ending with an early bedtime by candlelight, was hard to even imagine…
……走向成熟。摩尔定律已经死了，Web 的淘金热已经结束，而智能手机的普及率也正在逼近 100% 的自然上限。在这方面我推荐两篇必读内容：Robert Gordon 的《美国增长的起落》以及 Nicholas Bloom 等人的《Ideas 是不是越来越难找了？》（Are ideas getting harder to find?）。关于第 (2) 点，我觉得值得强调的是，电磁学早在 1800 年代末就基本搞清楚了。量子力学也基本搞定……
…maturing. Moore's law is dead, the gold rush for the web is over, and smartphone penetration is approaching its natural limit of 100%. The two key readings I would recommend here are Robert Gordon's 'The Rise and Fall of American Growth' and Nicholas Bloom et al.'s 'Are ideas getting harder to find?' On (2), I think it's worth emphasizing that electromagnetism was mostly figured out in the late 1800s. Quantum mechanics was mostly figured…