…outcome, whatever outcome you wish for, is how to avoid getting the same result over and over while thinking you ought to see something different because gosh-darned if you aren't trying really hard!! = Willful Ignorance by Weisberg. This isn't that good a book, in that it doesn't cover very much content at all, but it really gave me a good intuition for what statistics and probability is about that has helped me understand…
……结合了一些实际案例。4) Volkenstein 写的《Entropy and Information》（熵与信息），这是一本苏联科普书，里面有大量来自生物学、化学和物理学的重度数学实例；顺便提一句，我还可以推荐 Weisberg 的《Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty》，这是一本引人入胜的概率论及其关键提出者的历史回顾
…with some practical examples. 4) Entropy and Information by Volkenstein a Soviet popular science book with math-heavy examples from biology, chemistry and physics and as an aside I can also recommend "Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty" by Weisberg, which is an engaging history review of probability theory and its key inventors
……（不过，如果它在此之前就已经存在于美洲，那就能解释为什么它在 17 世纪会突然在欧洲冒出来了……）---- 重要的补充说明：关于这一点我的认知大多来自 Weisberg 的《Willful Ignorance》以及 Brenner、Brenner 和 Brown 写的《A World of Chance》。这些作者的研究主要基于欧洲的文献资料，也就是说重点放在欧洲人过去是如何看待这个问题的。这……
…(However, if it existed in the Americas earlier than that, that would explain why it suddenly popped up in Europe in the 1600s...) ---- Important edit: What I know about this comes mostly from Weisberg's Willful Ignorance as well as A World of Chance by Brenner, Brenner, and Brown. These authors' research is based mostly on European written sources, meaning the emphasis is on how Europeans used to think about this. It's…
I think I got most of this from Willful Ignorance (Weisberg, 2014) but it was a while since I read it (and this was before I made more detailed notes) so I might be misremembering. There are what looks like fantastic books on the early days of probability…
It would be nice if the era of economic theory were to end. Herbert Weisberg argues in Willful Ignorance (paraphrasing for brevity; read and come to your own conclusions) we’re using statistical and probabilistic tools in economics that were purposely left crude by the mathematicians that defined them, as…
……结果，无论你希望得到什么结果，关键都在于如何避免一次又一次得到同样的结果，却还自以为应该看到不同的东西，就因为你觉得自己明明已经拼尽全力了啊！！= Weisberg 的《Willful Ignorance》。这其实不算是一本特别好的书，因为它涵盖的内容其实非常少，但它确实给了我对统计学和概率论极好的直觉理解，帮我弄明白了……
…outcome, whatever outcome you wish for, is how to avoid getting the same result over and over while thinking you ought to see something different because gosh-darned if you aren't trying really hard!! = Willful Ignorance by Weisberg. This isn't that good a book, in that it doesn't cover very much content at all, but it really gave me a good intuition for what statistics and probability is about that has helped me understand…
……结合了一些实际案例。4) Volkenstein 写的《Entropy and Information》（熵与信息），这是一本苏联科普书，里面有大量来自生物学、化学和物理学的重度数学实例；顺便提一句，我还可以推荐 Weisberg 的《Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty》，这是一本引人入胜的概率论及其关键提出者的历史回顾
…with some practical examples. 4) Entropy and Information by Volkenstein a Soviet popular science book with math-heavy examples from biology, chemistry and physics and as an aside I can also recommend "Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty" by Weisberg, which is an engaging history review of probability theory and its key inventors
……（不过，如果它在此之前就已经存在于美洲，那就能解释为什么它在 17 世纪会突然在欧洲冒出来了……）---- 重要的补充说明：关于这一点我的认知大多来自 Weisberg 的《Willful Ignorance》以及 Brenner、Brenner 和 Brown 写的《A World of Chance》。这些作者的研究主要基于欧洲的文献资料，也就是说重点放在欧洲人过去是如何看待这个问题的。这……
…(However, if it existed in the Americas earlier than that, that would explain why it suddenly popped up in Europe in the 1600s...) ---- Important edit: What I know about this comes mostly from Weisberg's Willful Ignorance as well as A World of Chance by Brenner, Brenner, and Brown. These authors' research is based mostly on European written sources, meaning the emphasis is on how Europeans used to think about this. It's…
我想这些大部分是我从《Willful Ignorance》（Weisberg, 2014）里看来的，但我读它已经是蛮久以前的事了（那时我还没做那么详细的笔记），所以我也可能记错了。市面上似乎有一些关于概率论早期发展史的绝妙好书……
I think I got most of this from Willful Ignorance (Weisberg, 2014) but it was a while since I read it (and this was before I made more detailed notes) so I might be misremembering. There are what looks like fantastic books on the early days of probability…
要是经济学理论的时代能就此终结就好了。Herbert Weisberg 在《Willful Ignorance》中提出（为了简明扼要我就意译了；大家可以自行阅读并得出结论），我们在经济学中使用的统计和概率工具，本身就是当初定义它们的数学家故意留得粗糙简陋的，因为……
It would be nice if the era of economic theory were to end. Herbert Weisberg argues in Willful Ignorance (paraphrasing for brevity; read and come to your own conclusions) we’re using statistical and probabilistic tools in economics that were purposely left crude by the mathematicians that defined them, as…