如果，那么
If Then
Jill Lepore · 初版 2020 年
3人推荐
3位读者提及
7次提及
The Simulmatics Corporation 成立于1959年，早在 Facebook、Google、Amazon 和 Cambridge Analytica 出现数十年前，便已在挖掘数据、定向选民、加速新闻传播、操纵消费者、动摇政治格局并扰乱知识体系。Silicon Valley 喜欢自诩没有过去，但 Simulmatics 的科学家们正是 Mark Zuckerberg 和 Elon Musk 的先辈始祖。他们借鉴心理战手段，利用计算机预测并引导人类行为，从 New York、Cambridge 和 Saigon 为包括 John Kennedy 总统竞选团队在内的客户部署其“People Machine”……
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……可能就是这样。比如这位作者 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jill_Lepore 的书里，只有一半被认为足够重要从而拥有维基百科词条（而且很显眼的是，写得极好的 https://www.amazon.com/If-Then-Simulmatics-Corporation-Inven... 居然没有，不过这可能只是我作为一个从事民意调查领域的计算机宅的个人看法……如果你注意到了的话，我尽量不说像“大多数人认为”这类的话，因为……
…be. For instance only half of this author's books https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jill_Lepore are considered notable enough to have Wikipedia pages (and notably not the excellent https://www.amazon.com/If-Then-Simulmatics-Corporation-Inven... but maybe that is just my opinion as a computer nerd who works in the public opinion field... If you notice I try not to say things like "most people think that" because…
我刚巧读完了 Jill Lepore 写的《If Then》，讲的是 Simulmatics 公司以及对人类行为的计算模拟。如果你还没读过，不妨抽时间读一读。
I literally just finished reading "If Then" by Jill Lepore, which was about Simulmatics, and computational simulation of human behavior. If you haven't read it, you may want to take the time.
这本书 https://www.amazon.com/If-Then-Simulmatics-Corporation-Inven... 讲述了一家原本有望成为兰德公司（RAND）竞争对手的兴衰史，我觉得读起来挺有意思的。
This book https://www.amazon.com/If-Then-Simulmatics-Corporation-Inven... describes the rise and fall of a would-be competitor to RAND that I enjoyed.
……满足于编造迎合偏见的故事（just-so stories），给其他那些别有用心的所谓“关切者”（concern trolls）喂他们想信的东西。如果想看一位真正历史学者对民调如何颠覆政党并引发极化的剖析，可以读 Jill Lepore 的《If Then》，书中详述了 Simulatics 扮演的角色。想了解更多背景，可以读 Ezra Klein 的《Why We Are Polarized》；看看学者们是如何鼓吹、改革者们又是如何推动极化来提高（对选民的）问责性的，……
…satisfied just so stories, telling fellow concern trolls want they want to believe. An actual historian's take on the how polling toppled political parties and begat polarization is Jill Lepore's book "If Then", which details the role of Simulatics. For more context, read Ezra Klein's "Why We Are Polarized"; how academics advocated and then reformers inacted polarization to increase accountability (to voters),…
……自打 Graeber 的《债：第一个5000年》重塑了我的大脑之后，我就一直在狂刷无政府主义自由意志论及周边的思想。比如 Graeber 和 Wengrow 写的《万物的黎明》，Jill Lepore 的所有作品比如《If Then》和《这些真理》。接下来准备读 Heller 和 Salzman 写的《Mine!》。我还在慢慢啃播客《The History of Philosophy without Any Gaps》。就当是为我年轻时忽视了这些东西赎罪吧。最高力荐……
…Graeber's Debt: The 5000 Years reprogrammed my brain, I've been binging on anarchistic-libertarian and adjacent ideas. Such as The Dawn of Everything by Graeber and Wengrow, everything by Jill Lepore such as If Then and These Truths. Next up is Mine! by Heller and Salzman. I'm slowly chewing thru the podcast The History of Philosophy without Any Gaps. Penance for ignoring this stuff in my youth. Highest recommendation…
Jill Lepore 的书《If Then》涵盖了为早期人口特征建模（朋友的朋友、社交网络）辩护的“动机”。军方人士想要预测革命；政治人物想要精准定位选民；营销界人士……
Jill Lepore's book "If Then" covers the "why" justifying the early demographic modeling (friends of friends, social networks). Military types wanted to predict revolutions. Political types wanted to target voters. Marketing types…