在全球范围内,人口老龄化都是商品制造成本通胀的系统性根源。关于这个话题,我推荐 Manoj Pradhan 和 Charles Goodhart 的《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal,2019)。自那之后爆发的新冠疫情,不仅加剧了国际债务问题,还把我们劳动力宝贵的剩余工作年限又狠狠剥夺去了几年。……
Internationally aging populations are a systemic source of inflation in the cost of producing goods. I recommend Manoj Pradhan & Charles Goodhart’s, “The Great Demographic Reversal” (2019) for more on the topic. Covid occurring since then has exacerbated the international debt issues, as well as plucked more of the valuable remaining years away from our labor force’s working years.…
我建议看到这条评论的每个人都去读一读 Charles Goodhart 和 Manoj Pradhan 写的《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal),这本书讲的是发达经济体中人口老龄化对推高成本的影响。
I recommend everyone who reads this comment to pick up a copy of The Great Demographic Reversal by Charles Goodhart & Manoj Pradhan, a book on the cost-rising effects of aging populations among advanced economies.
2022 年是我读书收获颇丰的一年(按我的喜爱程度排序):Charles Goodhart 的《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal)——这本书改变了我的生活,但现在通胀和退休潮都已全面展开,想利用这些知识提早布局可能更难了。图表也开始……
2022 was a great year for my reading (in order of my favorites): The Great Demographic Reversal by Charles Goodhart - this book changed my life, but now that inflation and the retirements are in full swing it might be harder to make early moves on the knowledge. The graphs are also beginning to…
……清零政策?在未来十年左右的时间里,如果中国因老龄化减少 20% 的劳动力,经商成本会发生什么变化?关于这点我早就反复念叨得像个复读机了,但我还是强烈推荐《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal)。它从宏观视角审视了影响我们世界的各种力量,确实让人大开眼界。caycep 说价格被认为压低了,但并不太准确——价格之前低,是因为它们本就该……
…0-covid strategy? What will happen to the cost of doing business when China loses 20% of its workers over the next decade or so due to aging? I've been a broken record about this but I highly recommend The Great Demographic Reversal. It provides a high level view of the forces at play in our world and is a real eye opener. caycep said prices were artificially low but that's not quite right - prices were as low as they deserved to…
……现任政府的反移民立场(可以说对本国工人有利)以及具前瞻性的人口结构数据 [1] [2](同样对工人有利)。关于这种宏观趋势的更多内容,可以参阅《人口大逆转:老龄化社会、不平等缓解与通胀卷土重来》(The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival)一书 [3]。> 所谓的“短缺”不过是一块遮羞布,用来掩饰美企在利润空间被压缩、供应链……时表现出的绝望贪婪
…current admin's anti immigration stance (which is arguably good for domestic workers) and forward looking demographics [1] [2] (also good for workers). More on this macro trend can be found in the book "The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival" [3]. > The "shortage" is a fig leaf to cover up the desperate greed American businesses are feeling as their margins shrink and their supply…
在全球范围内,人口老龄化都是商品制造成本通胀的系统性根源。关于这个话题,我推荐 Manoj Pradhan 和 Charles Goodhart 的《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal,2019)。自那之后爆发的新冠疫情,不仅加剧了国际债务问题,还把我们劳动力宝贵的剩余工作年限又狠狠剥夺去了几年。……
Internationally aging populations are a systemic source of inflation in the cost of producing goods. I recommend Manoj Pradhan & Charles Goodhart’s, “The Great Demographic Reversal” (2019) for more on the topic. Covid occurring since then has exacerbated the international debt issues, as well as plucked more of the valuable remaining years away from our labor force’s working years.…
我建议看到这条评论的每个人都去读一读 Charles Goodhart 和 Manoj Pradhan 写的《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal),这本书讲的是发达经济体中人口老龄化对推高成本的影响。
I recommend everyone who reads this comment to pick up a copy of The Great Demographic Reversal by Charles Goodhart & Manoj Pradhan, a book on the cost-rising effects of aging populations among advanced economies.
2022 年是我读书收获颇丰的一年(按我的喜爱程度排序):Charles Goodhart 的《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal)——这本书改变了我的生活,但现在通胀和退休潮都已全面展开,想利用这些知识提早布局可能更难了。图表也开始……
2022 was a great year for my reading (in order of my favorites): The Great Demographic Reversal by Charles Goodhart - this book changed my life, but now that inflation and the retirements are in full swing it might be harder to make early moves on the knowledge. The graphs are also beginning to…
《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal)这本书值得一读
Worth checking out the book The Great Demographic Reversal
……清零政策?在未来十年左右的时间里,如果中国因老龄化减少 20% 的劳动力,经商成本会发生什么变化?关于这点我早就反复念叨得像个复读机了,但我还是强烈推荐《人口大逆转》(The Great Demographic Reversal)。它从宏观视角审视了影响我们世界的各种力量,确实让人大开眼界。caycep 说价格被认为压低了,但并不太准确——价格之前低,是因为它们本就该……
…0-covid strategy? What will happen to the cost of doing business when China loses 20% of its workers over the next decade or so due to aging? I've been a broken record about this but I highly recommend The Great Demographic Reversal. It provides a high level view of the forces at play in our world and is a real eye opener. caycep said prices were artificially low but that's not quite right - prices were as low as they deserved to…
……现任政府的反移民立场(可以说对本国工人有利)以及具前瞻性的人口结构数据 [1] [2](同样对工人有利)。关于这种宏观趋势的更多内容,可以参阅《人口大逆转:老龄化社会、不平等缓解与通胀卷土重来》(The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival)一书 [3]。> 所谓的“短缺”不过是一块遮羞布,用来掩饰美企在利润空间被压缩、供应链……时表现出的绝望贪婪
…current admin's anti immigration stance (which is arguably good for domestic workers) and forward looking demographics [1] [2] (also good for workers). More on this macro trend can be found in the book "The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival" [3]. > The "shortage" is a fig leaf to cover up the desperate greed American businesses are feeling as their margins shrink and their supply…