对 Peter Turchin 的研究感兴趣的人，他刚出了一本新书叫《Ages of Discord》。里面用了大量数学符号，但只要你不被劝退，读起来还是挺带劲的。http://peterturchin.com/ages-of-discord/
For those interested in Peter Turchin's work, he just released a new book called "Ages of Discord". It's got a lot of mathematical notation, but if you're not put off by that it's a good read. http://peterturchin.com/ages-of-discord/
……第二个问题的答案可能经常变，但我认为从长远来看，答案大概是：1) Jonathan Haidt 的《The Righteous Mind》 2) Nassim Nicholas Taleb 的《Antifragility》 3) Peter Turchin 的《Ages of Discord》
…answer to the second question probably changes a lot, but I think the long term answer is probably: 1) Jonathan Haidt, "The Righteous Mind" 2) Nassim Nicholas Taleb, "Antifragility" 3) Peter Turchin, "Ages of Discord"
如果你觉得这个有意思，建议读读 Peter Turchin 的《Ages of Discord》，他把这个假设和其他假设融入到了长期周期（secular cycles）模型中，跟历史数据拟合得非常漂亮。
If you find this interesting, I suggest reading Peter Turchin's Ages of Discord, which factors this and other hypothesis into secular cycle models, which backfit nicely onto history.
这基本上就是 Peter Turchin 在《Ages of Discord》里的核心前提，具体通过“福祉与精英过剩的双螺旋”（The Double Spiral of Well-Being and Elite Overproduction）来量化衡量。[1] [1]https://peterturchin.com/age-of-discord/
This is essentially the premise of Peter Turchin's Ages of Discord, specifically measured in "The Double Spiral of Well-Being and Elite Overproduction".[1] [1]https://peterturchin.com/age-of-discord/
对 Peter Turchin 的研究感兴趣的人，他刚出了一本新书叫《Ages of Discord》。里面用了大量数学符号，但只要你不被劝退，读起来还是挺带劲的。http://peterturchin.com/ages-of-discord/
For those interested in Peter Turchin's work, he just released a new book called "Ages of Discord". It's got a lot of mathematical notation, but if you're not put off by that it's a good read. http://peterturchin.com/ages-of-discord/
……第二个问题的答案可能经常变，但我认为从长远来看，答案大概是：1) Jonathan Haidt 的《The Righteous Mind》 2) Nassim Nicholas Taleb 的《Antifragility》 3) Peter Turchin 的《Ages of Discord》
…answer to the second question probably changes a lot, but I think the long term answer is probably: 1) Jonathan Haidt, "The Righteous Mind" 2) Nassim Nicholas Taleb, "Antifragility" 3) Peter Turchin, "Ages of Discord"
确实如此，你可能会对 Peter Turchin 的《Ages of Discord》感兴趣，里面更深入地探究了这种情况发生的机制和原因。
True, and you might be interested in Peter Turchin's "Ages of Discord" for a more in-depth investigation into how and why that happens.
如果你觉得这个有意思，建议读读 Peter Turchin 的《Ages of Discord》，他把这个假设和其他假设融入到了长期周期（secular cycles）模型中，跟历史数据拟合得非常漂亮。
If you find this interesting, I suggest reading Peter Turchin's Ages of Discord, which factors this and other hypothesis into secular cycle models, which backfit nicely onto history.
这基本上就是 Peter Turchin 在《Ages of Discord》里的核心前提，具体通过“福祉与精英过剩的双螺旋”（The Double Spiral of Well-Being and Elite Overproduction）来量化衡量。[1] [1]https://peterturchin.com/age-of-discord/
This is essentially the premise of Peter Turchin's Ages of Discord, specifically measured in "The Double Spiral of Well-Being and Elite Overproduction".[1] [1]https://peterturchin.com/age-of-discord/
SlateStarCodex 对 Turchin 的《Ages of Discord》的书评里有更多讨论 https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/02/book-review-ages-of-di...
SlateStarCodex's review of Turchin's "Ages of Discord" has some more discussion https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/02/book-review-ages-of-di...