……极端化,这一点在加德纳(Gardner)和泰特洛克(Tetlock)合著的《超级预测》(Superforecasting)中也被提及。相比这种讨论,我想推荐一本视角“截然相反”的书:格尔德·吉仁泽(Gerd Gigerenzer)的《凡人的理性》(Rationality for Mortals)。吉仁泽对启发式策略提出了一种反超理性主义的视角,论证了启发式不仅符合人性,对于受时间和算力限制的生物而言,更是必需且不可避免的。
…extremisation, which was also brought up in Superforcasting by Gardner and Tetlock. Instead of such a discussion, I'd like highlight a book that provides the "oposite" perspective: Gerd Gigerenzer's Rationality for Mortals. Gigerenzer presents the an anti hyper-rationalist perspective for heuristics, arguing that they're not only human, but necessary and inevitable for time and compute bounded beings.
……这里面确实涉及科学,但它永远成不了一门“精确”科学,因为你不可能设计出一套完美的字体,也不可能把排版规则完完全全穷举出来。[1] 我记得这是从格尔德·吉仁泽(Gerd Gigerenzer)的《凡人的理性:人们如何应对不确定性》(Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty)里学来的。
…there's science involved, but it will never be an _exact_ science in the sense of being able to create a perfect font or completely enumerate a set of typographical rules. [1] I think I learned this from "Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty" by Gerd Gigerenzer.
……极端化,这一点在加德纳(Gardner)和泰特洛克(Tetlock)合著的《超级预测》(Superforecasting)中也被提及。相比这种讨论,我想推荐一本视角“截然相反”的书:格尔德·吉仁泽(Gerd Gigerenzer)的《凡人的理性》(Rationality for Mortals)。吉仁泽对启发式策略提出了一种反超理性主义的视角,论证了启发式不仅符合人性,对于受时间和算力限制的生物而言,更是必需且不可避免的。
…extremisation, which was also brought up in Superforcasting by Gardner and Tetlock. Instead of such a discussion, I'd like highlight a book that provides the "oposite" perspective: Gerd Gigerenzer's Rationality for Mortals. Gigerenzer presents the an anti hyper-rationalist perspective for heuristics, arguing that they're not only human, but necessary and inevitable for time and compute bounded beings.
你读过格尔德·吉仁泽(Gerd Gigerenzer)写的《凡人的理性:人们如何应对不确定性》(Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty)吗?看起来非常有意思。
Have you read ‘Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty (Evolution and Cognition)’ by Gerd Gigerenzer? Looks very interesting.
……这里面确实涉及科学,但它永远成不了一门“精确”科学,因为你不可能设计出一套完美的字体,也不可能把排版规则完完全全穷举出来。[1] 我记得这是从格尔德·吉仁泽(Gerd Gigerenzer)的《凡人的理性:人们如何应对不确定性》(Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty)里学来的。
…there's science involved, but it will never be an _exact_ science in the sense of being able to create a perfect font or completely enumerate a set of typographical rules. [1] I think I learned this from "Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty" by Gerd Gigerenzer.