赌注
The bet
Paul Sabin · 初版 2013 年
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“1980年，特立独行的经济学家Julian Simon向著名生物学家Paul Ehrlich发起赌约。他们针对五种金属未来价格的赌局吸引了公众的关注，被视为对未来繁荣还是毁灭的一场检验。里程碑式著作The Population Bomb的作者Ehrlich预测，人口增长将导致过度消费、资源匮乏和饥荒——并为人类带来末日浩劫。Simon则乐观地反驳称，得益于灵活的市场、技术变革以及我们的集体智慧，人类福祉将会蒸蒸日上。Simon和Ehrlich的辩论反映了
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……Sean Carrol 的《End Of The Universe》 5. Graham Farmelo 的《Churchill's Bomb》 6. Charles Fernyhough 的《The Science Of Memory》 7. Adrian Raine 的《The Anatomy of Violence: The biological roots of crime》 8. Paul Sabin 的《The Bet: Paul Ehrlich, Julian Simon, and our gamble over Earth’s future》 9. Arthur Shimamura 的《Experiencing Art: In the brain of the beholder》 10. 《The Spark: A Mother’s Story of Nurturing Genius》……
…End Of The Universe by Sean Carrol 5. Churchil Bomb by Graham Farmello 6. The Science Of Memory by Charles Fernyhough 7. The Anatomy of Violence: The biological roots of crime by Adrian Raine 8. The Bet: Paul Ehrlich, Julian Simon, and our gamble over Earth’s future by Paul Sabin 9. Experiencing Art: In the brain of the beholder by Arthur Shimamura 10. The Spark: A Mother’s Story of Nurturing Genius…
……假定从海水提炼在经济上永远不可行，这算是一个潜在的错误根源。如果你对“资源枯竭峰值”的历史感兴趣，这里有本好书，讲的就是 Paul Ehrlich 和 Julian L. Simon 的那场著名赌局：http://www.amazon.com/The-Bet-Ehrlich-Julian-Earth%C2%92s/dp...
…assumes that seawater extraction will never be economically viable, one possible source of error. If you're interested in the history of "peak resources" here is a good book about Paul Ehrlich's famous bet with Julian L. Simon: http://www.amazon.com/The-Bet-Ehrlich-Julian-Earth%C2%92s/dp...
感谢提到这个！关于这个话题有一本极好的书：Paul Sabin 写的《The Bet: Paul Ehrlich, Julian Simon, and Our Gamble over Earth’s Future》。
Thanks for bringing this up! An excellent book on this is: The Bet: Paul Ehrlich, Julian Simon, and Our Gamble over Earths Future by Paul Sabin