金融市场新范式
The new paradigm for financial markets
George Soros · 初版 2008 年
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在大萧条以来最严重的金融动荡之中，传奇金融家George Soros深入剖析了这场危机的根源及其对未来的深远影响。Soros在金融市场拥有无可比拟的丰富经验，他将当前危机置于数十年关于个人与机构如何应对如今主导全球经济活动的繁荣与萧条周期的研究背景之下。“这是一个一生一次的历史时刻，”Soros在描述席卷Wall Street及全球其他金融中心的金融困境规模时如此写道
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…本质。一本关于递归效应（即刺激事件会导致系统在未来对同一刺激事件做出不同反应的方式）的书是《金融市场的范式转换：2008年金融危机及其意义》（The Crash of 2008 and What it Means: The New Paradigm for Financial Markets，索罗斯，2009）。它其实并不是讲2008年危机的，那只不过是他为了多卖点书而贴的一层讨巧的糖衣，骨子里其实是一本带有浓厚经济色彩的哲学书。要想看更硬核的…
…nature. A book about recursion effects (i.e. the way a stimulus event will cause the system to respect to the same stimulus event differently in the future) is _The Crash of 2008 and What it Means: The New Paradigm for Financial Markets_ (Soros, 2009). It's not really about the 2008 crash, that's just a cute veneer he's put on it to sell more copies of a book that's really a book about philosophy with a very economic bent. For a stronger…
…澳大利亚（而且我听说加拿大也是）的房地产市场存在泡沫，但还不清楚会持续多久。乔治·索罗斯（George Soros）似乎是个懂得如何思考这类问题的人。他在《金融市场新范式》（New Paradigm for Financial Markets）里对这个问题的探讨很值得一读。
…Australian (and, I've heard, the Canadian) housing market is in a bubble, but not so clear how long it's going to go on. One person who seems to know how to think about these things is George Soros. His New Paradigm for Financial Markets is a good read on this question.
…我不知道有什么，也许别人能推荐一下。如果是更宏观的经济图景方面的书，我推荐黑兹利特的《一课经济学》（Economics in One Lesson）；希夫的《经济为什么会崩溃》（How an Economy Grows and Why It Crashes）；以及索罗斯的《金融市场新范式：2008年信贷危机及其意义》（The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means）。
…don't know of one, perhaps someone else can recommend. For broader economic picture stuff, I recommend Hazlitt _Economics in One Lesson_; Schiff _How an Economy Grows and Why It Crashes_; Soros, _The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means_.
刚读完索罗斯的《金融市场新范式》（The New Paradigm for Financial Markets），还听了一期讲他的 Vox 播客 https://podcasts.apple.com/al/podcast/who-is-the-real-george... 他看起来是个挺通情达理、挺有意思的人。那期 Vox 听起来像是…
Just finished reading Soros' The New Paradigm for Financial Markets, and also listened to a Vox podcast episode on him https://podcasts.apple.com/al/podcast/who-is-the-real-george... He seems like a pretty reasonable and interesting guy. The Vox episode sounded like…
…去承认他们的所作所为根本就不算文明人的行为，并去别处做这些事。没有他们混在我们中间，我们会好过得多。正如乔治·索罗斯在《金融市场新范式》（The New Paradigm for Financial Markets）的历史章节中所描述的那样，这正是大萧条废墟中演化出的态度，但早在60年代开始，金融界就不断蚕食那些曾经施加的约束。…
…to acknowledge that what they do just isn’t civilized behavior, and do it somewhere else. We’ll be way better off without them among us. As George Soros describes in the historical section of The New Paradigm for Financial Markets, this was exactly the attitude which evolved from the wreckage of the Great Depression, but starting as early as the 60s the financial world steadily chipped away at the constraints which had been imposed.…
…有人写了篇论文论证某个市场在特定时期内会上涨，他们可能会影响读者，进而促使市场更早见涨。索罗斯在《金融市场新范式：2008年信贷危机及其意义》（The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What it Means）中详细讨论了这种 feedback loop，这本书本质上是借着危机爆发的由头包装出来多卖几本的哲学书。关于检验经济理论的科学方法这一问题…
…somebody writes a paper demonstrating that a market will go up over a certain period, they may influence readers and cause the market to go up sooner. Soros discusses this feedback loop at length in _ The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What it Means_, which is a book about his philosophy dressed up to sell copies in the wake of the crisis. The issue of scientific approaches to testing economic theories…