修复失败国家
Fixing failed states
Ashraf Ghani · 初版 2009 年
3位读者提及
6次提及
如今，有四十至六十个国家（拥有超过十亿人口）要么已经崩溃，要么在失败的边缘摇摇欲坠。世界上最恶劣的问题——恐怖主义、毒品与人口贩卖、赤贫、种族冲突、疾病、种族灭绝——都源自这些国家，国际社会已投入数十亿美元试图解决这一困局。然而总体而言，这些努力并未取得成功。多年来，Ashraf Ghani 和 Clare Lockhart 作为世界银行官员、联合国顾问和高级官员，积极投身于拯救失败国家的行动中
Hacker News 上怎么说
正在加载完整评论……
这让我想起那位被赶下台的阿富汗前总统真的写了一本关于治理失败国家的书（Fixing Failed States）：https://www.amazon.com/Fixing-Failed-States-Framework-Rebuil... 这本书可以非常精确地概括为：> 1. 推翻独裁政权 > 2. ... > 3. Profit! 我特别喜欢里面关于“Building…
Reminds me of how the ousted Afghan President literally "wrote the book" on Fixing Failed States: https://www.amazon.com/Fixing-Failed-States-Framework-Rebuil... This would be an accurate summary of this book: > 1. Overthrow dictatorship > 2. ... > 3. Profit! I love how the section on "Building…
……朋友们，光靠死读书在这个世界上是很难走得通的。这让我想起阿富汗最后一任总统阿什拉夫·加尼（Ashraf Ghani），他可是哥伦比亚大学博士、霍普金斯大学教授，还写过一本叫《修复失败国家》（Fixing Failed States）的书。然而在解决本属于他专业领域内的问题时，他的失败简直惨不忍睹。鉴于学术界对复杂问题的预测能力实在有限，我认为……
…people, the world is pretty hard to navigate with book learning. I’m reminded of the last president of Afghanistan, Ashraf Ghani, a professor at Hopkins with a PhD from Columbia who wrote a book called “Fixing Failed States.” Yet he was spectacularly unsuccessful at fixing the problems that were squarely within the field of his expertise. Given the limits academia’s predictive power with respect to complex issues, I think…
……朋友们，光靠死读书在这个世界上是很难走得通的。这让我想起阿富汗最后一任总统阿什拉夫·加尼（Ashraf Ghani），霍普金斯大学教授，哥伦比亚大学博士，还写了本《修复失败国家》（Fixing Failed States）。然而在他专业范围内的问题上，他却搞得一败涂地。特例罢了。你不能光靠研究异常值（outliers）就得出结论。更好的……
…people, the world is pretty hard to navigate with book learning. I’m reminded of the last president of Afghanistan, Ashraf Ghani, a professor at Hopkins with a PhD from Columbia who wrote a book called “Fixing Failed States.” Yet he was spectacularly unsuccessful at fixing the problems that were squarely within the field of his expertise. Outliers. You cannot come to conclusions based on examining outliers only. The better…
……拉丁美洲最富有的国家之一。克鲁格曼（Krugman）干成过哪怕一件吗？克鲁格曼让我想起阿富汗前总统兼学者阿什拉夫·加尼（Ashraf Ghani）。这哥们真的写过一本《修复失败国家》（Fixing Failed States）。后来他有机会把理论付诸实践，结果惨烈翻车。还有穆罕默德·尤努斯（Muhammad Yunus），另一位诺奖经济学得主，如今当上总理也是拉了一裤裆（shitting the bed）……
…one of the richest countries in Latin America. Has Krugman done any of that? Krugman makes me think of Ashraf Ghani, the former President of Afghanistan and academic. The guy literally wrote a book “Fixing Failed States.” Then he got the chance to put his theory to practice and he flamed out miserably. Then there’s Muhammad Yunus, another Nobel Prize winning economist who is currently shitting the bed as prime minister…
……由经济学家掌舵。现在GDP增长崩盘，安全局势岌岌可危。这同样让我想起阿富汗最后一任总统阿什拉夫·加尼（Ashraf Ghani），他曾是大学教授，还写过一本《修复失败国家》（Fixing Failed States）。国家崩溃时，他最终像个懦夫一样逃离了阿富汗。值得注意的是，学生在1979年伊朗革命中扮演了重要角色，最终把阿亚图拉送上了台。事实上要……
…economist in charge. Now GDP growth has collapsed and the security situation has become precarious. I’m also reminded of Ashraf Ghani, the last President of Afghanistan, who was a professor and wrote a book “Fixing Failed States.” He ended up fleeing the country like a coward as it collapsed. It’s notable that students played a major role in the 1979 Iranian revolution that ended up putting the Ayatollah in power. In fact to…
这也让我想起阿富汗最后一任总统阿什拉夫·加尼（Ashraf Ghani），他曾是大学教授，还写过一本《修复失败国家》（Fixing Failed States）。当国家崩溃时，他最后像个懦夫一样溜之大吉。不过话说回来（Meh），鉴于阿富汗当时被美国政府纵容的毒贩控制着，换成谁来也不可能力挽狂澜。……
I’m also reminded of Ashraf Ghani, the last President of Afghanistan, who was a professor and wrote a book “Fixing Failed States.” He ended up fleeing the country like a coward as it collapsed. Meh, no amount genius would have helped someone fix Afghanistan given that it was controlled by drug dealers abetted by the US state.…