思维与决策
Thinking and deciding
Jonathan Baron · 初版 1988 年
6人推荐
8位读者提及
14次提及
“Thinking and Deciding 已成为人类判断、决策与理性领域师生及学者不可或缺的必备教材和重要参考书。在第三版中，Jonathan Baron 进一步深入探讨了前几版中涉及的诸多核心问题。例如：我们应当如何思考？究竟是什么阻碍了我们以这种方式思考？我们又该如何改进自己的思维与决策？Baron 还修订并扩充了诸如风险、功利主义、Bayes's theorem、效用度量、决策分析与价值观等主题的内容。通过强调
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…靠更优的搜索，或者靠搜索以及基于搜索的推断相结合。事实上，Google 或者它的替代品最有可能成为第一个真正 GAI 的缔造者。乔纳森·巴伦（Jonathan Baron）在《思考与决策》（Thinking and Deciding）中，把几乎所有的思考、决策、创造性以及其他心理过程，都视为搜索与推断相结合的各种变体。我还没读完这本书，但就目前读到的部分来看…
…superior search or by a combination of search and inference from the search. In fact, Google or its replacement is the most likely contender for the originator of the first true GAI. Jonathan Baron, in "Thinking and Deciding", views nearly all thinking, decision making, creative, and other mental processes as variations on a combination of search and inference. I haven't finished the book, but in what I have read so far…
…平庸之境 Mediocristan）vs 风险投资人（不可预测、巨大风险，所有下注可能全打水漂，或者冒出一个独角兽，即极端之境 Extremistan）。想全面了解决策机制的研究，可以参考乔纳森·巴伦那本极出色的《思考与决策》（Thinking and Deciding）。
…Mediocristan) vs. A Venture Capitalist (unpredictable, large risks, all his bets might fail or one may become a unicorn i.e. Extremistan). For a comprehensive study of decision-making, see the excellent Thinking and Deciding by Jonathan Baron.
…想法空间（idea space）需要的不仅仅是逻辑。这正是创造力人群与芸芸众生的区别所在。而且在这样的空间里做决策肯定也得不一样。这纯粹是空洞的废话。去看看巴伦的《思考与决策》（Thinking and Deciding）里对相关主题的详细研究吧。> 这正是为什么那篇文章很有趣。未来某天也许会有一种数学方法能严密定义这个问题和解法。但在那之前，就像哲学家们一样…
…idea space requires more than mere logic. This is what distinguishes creative people from mere mortals. And decision making in such a space has to be different too. This is mere verbiage. See Baron's Thinking and Deciding for a detailed study of the relevant subjects. >That was why the article was so interesting. One day there might be a mathematical way to define this problem and solution properly. Until then, like philosophers…
…叛逆（Rebellion）( http://books.google.com/books?id=VRsgtSBMh0YC&printsec=f... ) 关于这个主题有不少文献，从科普级到“硬核劝退”级都有。我现在正在啃乔纳森·巴伦的《思考与决策》（Thinking and Deciding）。干货满满（pure gold），但也是我好久以来读过的最枯燥艰涩的书了。
…Rebellion ( http://books.google.com/books?id=VRsgtSBMh0YC&printsec=f... ) There is a fair amount of literature on the topic, varying from science popularization to "too hard". Right now I'm plowing through Thinking and Deciding, by Johnathan Baron. It's pure gold, but it's also the driest read in a long time.
…我看过的其他书（注意我目前还在调研这个领域，大家如果有喜欢的书欢迎在评论区推荐）。http://www.amazon.com/Project-Management-Pert-Precedence-Dia... 乔纳森·巴伦的《思考与决策》（Thinking and Deciding）是我读过关于全面提升思维能力最好的书之一。http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Deciding-Jonathan-Baron/dp/05...
…others I have seen (note I am still researching this area, anyone who has a favorite book can leave it in a comment). http://www.amazon.com/Project-Management-Pert-Precedence-Dia... Jonathan Baron's Thinking and Deciding is one of the best books on improving your thinking in general that I have ever read. http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Deciding-Jonathan-Baron/dp/05...
乔纳森·巴伦的《思考与决策》（Thinking and Deciding）：https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Deciding-4th-Jonathan-Baron/... （我作为一个读过《思考，快与慢》以及卡尼曼其他书的人，由衷这么说。）
Thinking and Deciding by Jonathan Baron: https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Deciding-4th-Jonathan-Baron/... (I say this as someone who has read Thinking, Fast and Slow and other Kahneman books.)