未来剪影
Profiles of the future
Arthur C. Clarke · 初版 1962 年
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为什么值得读
- 提出高度先进科技与魔法无异等三定律
- 收录大量富于启发性的未来技术预测
- 对思考能源与技术可能性的边界极有助益
本书最初出版于1962年，基于1959年至1961年间撰写的文章结集而成。由于它关注的是终极可能性，而非近期有望实现的成就，即便过去十年发生了诸多非凡事件，本书也几乎未显过时。不过 Arthur Clarke 仍对全书进行了审订，并在必要处作了修正与批注，使其内容紧跟时代。在诸多对未来前景引人入胜的探索中，作者探讨了四维空间、万有引力定律的过时，以及对整个……
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在我还是个容易受影响的 13 岁少年时，阿瑟·C·克拉克的科普随笔集《Profiles of the Future: An Inquiry into the Limits of the Possible》（未来的轮廓：对可能性极限的探究）真让我大开眼界（mind-expander）。你最喜欢的科普随笔集是哪本？
As an impressionable 13-year-old, I found Arthur C. Clarke's book of popular science essays, 'Profiles of the Future: An Inquiry into the Limits of the Possible', to be a real mind-expand-er. What's your favorite book of science essays?
毫不犹豫选安德鲁·霍奇斯写的图灵传记《Enigma》（谜题）。不过阿瑟·克拉克的《Profiles of the Future》也出奇地棒。
Andrew Hodges's biography of Turing, "Enigma", easily. Although "Profiles of the Future" by Arthur Clarke was also surprisingly good.
如果你真对阿瑟·C·克拉克对未来的看法感兴趣，容我推荐他的书《Profiles of The Future》，著名的“克拉克三定律”就出自这里，包括大家耳熟能详的“任何足够先进的科技都与魔法无异”。它不仅包含了许多类似于本帖中提到的预测……
If you're actually interested in what Arthur C. Clarke thought about the future, may i suggest his book "Profiles of The Future", from whence we get Clarke's 3 laws, including the well-worn "any technology, sufficiently advanced, is indistinguishable from magic." Not only does it contain lots of predictions like the ones in this…
我觉得你说得在理，不过我也上年纪了。我发现早年读阿瑟·C·克拉克的《Profiles of the Future》、后来读耶金的《石油风云》（The Prize），在思考能源问题时都很有价值；而且当年《The Oil Drum》[1] 活跃时我也觉得很有意思。但我知道自己在能源方面只是个半吊子……有什么资源可以……
I think you've got a point, but then I'm old too. I found reading Arthur C. Clarke's 'Profiles of the Future' early on, and Yergin's 'The Prize' later on to be valuable in reasoning about energy, and found 'The Oil Drum' [1] fascinating during its run. But I know I'm an energy dilettante... what resources would…
……当一位杰出但年迈的科学家说某件事是可能的，他几乎肯定是正确的；但当他说某件事是不可能的，他极大概率是错的。—— 阿瑟·C·克拉克，《Profiles of the Future》，1962年 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clarke%27s_three_laws https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Arthur_C._Clarke#Clarke's_Thre...
…When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong. -- Arthur C. Clarke, Profiles of the Future, 1962 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clarke%27s_three_laws https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Arthur_C._Clarke#Clarke's_Thre...
克拉克第三定律：任何足够先进的科技，都与魔法无异。[0] [0]《Profiles of the Future》，阿瑟·C·克拉克
Clarke's Third Law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. [0] [0] Profiles of the Future, Arthur C. Clarke