地图与疆域
The Map and the Territory
Alan Greenspan · 初版 2013 年
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正如我们所有人一样——尽管鲜少有人像他那样备受瞩目——2008年的金融危机迫使Alan Greenspan对风险管理和经济预测的某些根本假设提出了质疑。在全世界任何具有实质性经济决策影响力的人当中，没有一人能事先认清这场风暴的真面目。我们的模型为何会如此彻底地失效？为了解答这个问题，Alan Greenspan开启了一项严谨而深远的多年期探究，考察Homo economicus如何预测经济未来，以及如何能够做出更好的预测。经济风险是各个领域的生活现实，从家庭到商业……
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最近读了：Michel Houellebecq 的《地图与疆土》（The map and the territory）。这书肯定不是字面意义上那种打鸡血的书（也就是不会让你读完想大干一场之类的），但它写得实在太绝了……
Recently: "The map and the territory" by Michel Houellebecq. It's certainly not the kind of book that you'd think is inspiring in a literal way (ie. would make you want to go and achieve things etc.), but it's just such an extraordinary…
他语气里的笃定，以及他把理性当作披风一样披在身上的姿态；这本书帮我理解了理性的意义、“地图与疆土”（模型与现实），以及信念去预测并承认客观现实存在的力量。对我来说，这算是一场掉进兔子洞的深度探索之旅。
The conviction in his tone and how he wears rationality like a cape, the book helped me understand the meaning of rationality, the map and the territory and power of beliefs to predict and also acknowledge the existence of an objective reality. Its sort of a journey down the rabbit hole for me.
……他被这整件事搞得措手不及。我刚好看到他最近出的那本书，书名挺耐人寻味，不过看书评和我粗略扫过的内容，感觉并算不上惊艳：《地图与疆土》（The Map and the Territory）。我得去查查这书名的来由，但它强烈地让人联想起 Robert Pirsig 的《莱拉》（Lila），那本书开头就是作者在河上领航，结果参考的却是……
…that he was waylaid by the whole thing. I just happened across his recent book whose title is intruiging, though by reviews and what little of it I skimmed, the content is less than overwhelming: The Map and the Territory. I'd need to find the backstory on the title, but it is strongly reminiscent of Robert Pirsig's Lila, the opening chapter of which starts with the author navigating a river by what turns out to be the…
并不是要无视盲人面临的特殊困难，但只要“地图与疆土”存在脱节，这就是个普遍存在的问题。脱节可能是因为工作马虎，也可能纯粹是因为世界随时间变化而地图没跟上节奏。在 IT 系统里我见过太多案例，一份糟糕的文档比完全没有文档……
Not to take away from the specific challenges of blind people, but this is a broad problem whenever there is a mismatch between the map and the territory. The mismatch can come from sloppy work or just from the way the world changes over time and the map doesn't keep up. I've seen plenty of cases in IT systems where bad documentation is much worse than…