不死的理论
The Theory That Would Not Die
Sharon Bertsch McGrayne · 初版 2011 年
14人推荐
21位读者提及
23次提及
为什么值得读
- 详述贝叶斯派与频率派的长期纷争
- 记录图灵破译密码等关键历史应用
- 随着章节展开阅读体验愈发精彩
Bayes' rule 表面上似乎是一个浅显直白、仅有一行的定理：通过客观的新信息更新我们最初的信念，我们就能获得一个经过改良的全新信念。在它的拥护者看来，这是关于如何从经验中学习的优雅表述；在反对者眼中，它则是主观主义的肆意妄为。在首部面向大众读者的 Bayes' rule 专著中，Sharon Bertsch McGrayne 探讨了这一极具争议的定理以及围绕它的人类执念。她追溯了它在 18 世纪 40 年代由一位业余数学家发现，再经由法国科学家 Pierre Simon 发展为大致现代形态的历程……
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……你也是这种体验吗？）。对于想深入了解这个话题的人，耶鲁大学出版社最近出了一本关于贝叶斯定理争议史的绝赞好书：莎伦·伯奇·麦格雷恩（Sharon Bertsch McGrayne）写的《不败之谜》（The Theory That Would Not Die）。平心而论，我也确实看到朱迪亚·珀尔（Judea Pearl）写过一篇题为《贝叶斯主义与因果关系，或者，为什么我只算半个贝叶斯派》的文章。话虽如此，他的大部分工作看起来……
…this your experience?). For those interested in learning more about this topic, an excellent book on the history of the Bayes theorem controversies was recently published by Yale Unviersity Press: _The Theory That Would Not Die_ by Sharon Bertsch McGrayne To be fair to Judea Pearl, I do see that he wrote an essay entitled, "Bayesianism and causality, or, why I am only half-bayesian". Nonetheless, much of his work appears to…
我还没读过这本特定的书，但读过《不败之谜》（The Theory that would not die）[1]，感觉很过瘾，里面也详细讲述了频率学派与贝叶斯统计学家之间历史性的交锋。不确定这两本哪本更好，但《不败之谜……》在 Goodreads 上的评分数量要比这本多得多。……
I haven't read this particular book but enjoyed "The Theory that would not die"[1] which also details the historic conflict between frequentists and the bayesian statisticians. Not sure which is the better book but "The Theory..." has a lot more Goodreads ratings than this one.…
《不败之谜》（The Theory That Would Not Die）[1]是一本非常棒的读物。它完整记录了贝叶斯理论如何一步步确立正统地位的历程，从贝叶斯最初的实验，一路讲到图灵、纳粹潜艇以及更长远的时期。要学习它这可能不是最速成的方法……
The Theory That Would Not Die [1] is a great read. It's a complete history of the fight to legitimize Bayes' theory from Bayes' original experiment through Turing and Nazi subs and beyond. Probably not the quickest way to learn…
《不败之谜》（The Theory That Would Not Die）。我一开始没抱太大期望，而且第一章我也谈不上喜欢，因为那个故事至少在我们圈子里早就人尽皆知了。但随着章节深入，内容变得越来越抓人：https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300188226/theory-would-n...
"the theory that would not die" I didn't expect much, and don't think I was a fan of the first chapter because the story is pretty well known atleast in my circles. But it grows exponentially interesting as the chapters roll https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300188226/theory-would-n...
麦格雷恩写的《不败之谜》（The Theory That Would Not Die）很有趣，讲的是贝叶斯统计的历史。虽然也不太符合题主的要求，但真写得太赞了：詹姆斯·格雷克的《信息简史》（The Information）。它是关于信息论的发展历程，或者说是如何从统计学角度……
The Theory That Would Not Die, by McGrayne was fun, about the history of Bayesian statistics. Also not exactly what was asked, but so good: James Gleick’s ”Information”. It is about the history of information theory or how to statistically…
莎伦·麦格雷恩的《不败之谜》（The Theory that Would Not Die）里有一章专门讲了这个，整本书更偏向贝叶斯统计的通史。
"The Theory that Would Not Die" by Sharon McGrayne has a good chapter on this, book is a more general history of Bayesian statistics.