我这几年最喜欢的一本书是埃里克·考夫曼（Eric Kaufmann）的《Shall the religious inherit the earth》，书中指出，一些少数宗教群体（通常是相当极端的那些）在生育方面表现要好得多，并且很可能会以牺牲主流群体为代价进行扩张。这种家庭文化上的差异……
My favourite book of the past few years, Eric Kaufmann's "Shall the religious inherit the earth", points out that some religious minorities, often quite extreme ones, are much better at having children, and are likely to spread at the expense of the mainstream. This cultural difference in family…
社会学家埃里克·考夫曼写过一本关于这个的书。书名叫《Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?》，基本观点就是高生育率文化最终会战胜世俗的丁克或少育文化。我觉得这论点相当有说服力。人们往往倾向于对未来做这样的预测……
Eric Kaufmann, a sociologist, wrote a book on this. It’s called Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? and basically argues that high birthrate cultures eventually win out against secular childfree or child-limited ones. I find it to be pretty convincing. People tend to create projections of the future…
你应该去读读埃里克·考夫曼的书，尤其是《Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth》。它的预测跟你说的一模一样：各个国家会变得越来越宗教化，而不是越来越少，目前的世俗化趋势不过是历史上短暂的昙花一现。不信教是一种人口/社会的……
You should read books by Eric Kaufmann, specifically "Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth". It predicts exactly as you say, that countries will continue to become more religious, not less, the current trend of secularization is but a short lived burst in history. Irreligion is a demographic/social…
……不仅是随便哪个 Substack 写手——那是写了《Tomorrow's People》的保罗·莫兰（Paul Morland）。老实讲那本书挺平淡乏味的。他在这里提出的同一个论点，埃里克·考夫曼在《Shall The Religious Inherit The Earth》整本书里都展开讲过了，那本非常棒。
…just some random substacker - that's Paul Morland who wrote Tomorrow's People. TBH that book was rather bland and milquetoast. The same argument he makes here is made at book length by Eric Kaufmann in "Shall The Religious Inherit The Earth", which is very good.
你可能会对考夫曼写的一本叫《Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?》的书感兴趣。基本上很大程度上归结于生育率和文化的凝聚力。另一本好书是《A Secular Age》，不过它的时间跨度要长得多。它追溯了基督教的转变……
You might be interested in a book called Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? by Kaufmann. Basically a lot of it comes down to birth rates and cohesiveness of culture. Another good one is A Secular Age, although it's on a much longer timeline. It tracks the shift of Christianity…
生育率对社会的影响比我认为人们意识到的要大得多。我最近读了埃里克·考夫曼的《Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?》。它提出了一个非常强有力的论点：与人们普遍认为所有人最终都会变成无神论者的假设相反，世界实际上会变得更加宗教化，而且几乎完全是……
Birth rates have a much larger effect on society than I think people realize. I recently read Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? by Eric Kaufmann. It makes a pretty strong argument that contrary to the widespread assumption that everyone will just become an atheist, the world will actually become more religious, almost entirely…
我这几年最喜欢的一本书是埃里克·考夫曼（Eric Kaufmann）的《Shall the religious inherit the earth》，书中指出，一些少数宗教群体（通常是相当极端的那些）在生育方面表现要好得多，并且很可能会以牺牲主流群体为代价进行扩张。这种家庭文化上的差异……
My favourite book of the past few years, Eric Kaufmann's "Shall the religious inherit the earth", points out that some religious minorities, often quite extreme ones, are much better at having children, and are likely to spread at the expense of the mainstream. This cultural difference in family…
社会学家埃里克·考夫曼写过一本关于这个的书。书名叫《Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?》，基本观点就是高生育率文化最终会战胜世俗的丁克或少育文化。我觉得这论点相当有说服力。人们往往倾向于对未来做这样的预测……
Eric Kaufmann, a sociologist, wrote a book on this. It’s called Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? and basically argues that high birthrate cultures eventually win out against secular childfree or child-limited ones. I find it to be pretty convincing. People tend to create projections of the future…
你应该去读读埃里克·考夫曼的书，尤其是《Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth》。它的预测跟你说的一模一样：各个国家会变得越来越宗教化，而不是越来越少，目前的世俗化趋势不过是历史上短暂的昙花一现。不信教是一种人口/社会的……
You should read books by Eric Kaufmann, specifically "Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth". It predicts exactly as you say, that countries will continue to become more religious, not less, the current trend of secularization is but a short lived burst in history. Irreligion is a demographic/social…
……不仅是随便哪个 Substack 写手——那是写了《Tomorrow's People》的保罗·莫兰（Paul Morland）。老实讲那本书挺平淡乏味的。他在这里提出的同一个论点，埃里克·考夫曼在《Shall The Religious Inherit The Earth》整本书里都展开讲过了，那本非常棒。
…just some random substacker - that's Paul Morland who wrote Tomorrow's People. TBH that book was rather bland and milquetoast. The same argument he makes here is made at book length by Eric Kaufmann in "Shall The Religious Inherit The Earth", which is very good.
你可能会对考夫曼写的一本叫《Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?》的书感兴趣。基本上很大程度上归结于生育率和文化的凝聚力。另一本好书是《A Secular Age》，不过它的时间跨度要长得多。它追溯了基督教的转变……
You might be interested in a book called Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? by Kaufmann. Basically a lot of it comes down to birth rates and cohesiveness of culture. Another good one is A Secular Age, although it's on a much longer timeline. It tracks the shift of Christianity…
生育率对社会的影响比我认为人们意识到的要大得多。我最近读了埃里克·考夫曼的《Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?》。它提出了一个非常强有力的论点：与人们普遍认为所有人最终都会变成无神论者的假设相反，世界实际上会变得更加宗教化，而且几乎完全是……
Birth rates have a much larger effect on society than I think people realize. I recently read Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? by Eric Kaufmann. It makes a pretty strong argument that contrary to the widespread assumption that everyone will just become an atheist, the world will actually become more religious, almost entirely…