……成千上万。如果还不能奏效，巨大的不可避免的饥荒就会在后方潜行，以致命的一击让人口与世界粮食产量重归平衡。——T.R. 马尔萨斯，1798年，《人口论》（An essay on the principle of population）第七章，第61页。请记住，这是他1798年写下的，后来有很多文献表明粮食产量是随着人口增长而增长的[1] 诚然，那场大……
…thousands. Should success be still incomplete, gigantic inevitable famine stalks in the rear, and with one mighty blow levels the population with the food of the world. — Malthus T.R. 1798. An essay on the principle of population. Chapter VII, p61 This was 1798 mind you when he wrote that, and much has been written that shows that food production increases in line with population growth [1] It is certainly true that the Great…
……人口。这种持续不断的努力也同样持续地倾向于让社会下层陷入困顿，并阻碍其状况发生任何重大的持久改善。”——T.R. 马尔萨斯，1798年，《人口论》（An Essay on the Principle of Population）第二章。https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Essay_on_the_Principle_of_P...
…population. This constant effort as constantly tends to subject the lower classes of the society to distress and to prevent any great permanent amelioration of their condition". — Malthus T.R. 1798. An Essay on the Principle of Population. Chapter II. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Essay_on_the_Principle_of_P...
I'm always skeptical about predictions of a coming food shortage. It's been predicated for the last 200 (Malthus' An Essay on the Principle of Population was published in 1800), and it hasn't happened yet.
…and was therefore a pessimist who nonetheless was of a sunny disposition and the life and soul of dinner parties in London. [1] https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/10483171-the-beginning-o... [2] An Essay on the Principle of Population (1798) http://www.esp.org/books/malthus/population/malthus.pdf
…Ferdinand Lassalle in the mid-nineteenth century. Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels attribute the doctrine to Lassalle (notably in Marx's 1875 Critique of the Gotha Programme), the idea to Thomas Malthus's An Essay on the Principle of Population, and the terminology to Goethe's "great, eternal iron laws" in Das Göttliche.[1][2][3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_law_of_wages Law of Rent: the rent of a land site is equal to the economic…
……不知道有没有比方说1950年的类似预测，我们可以翻出来看看结果如何。托马斯·马尔萨斯在1798年的《人口论》（An Essay on the Principle of Population）中试图描绘世界人口的未来。他预测全球人口每25年翻一番，直到粮食短缺通过苦难或饥荒与死亡来限制人口。皮埃尔·弗朗索瓦·韦吕勒后来进行了数学建模……
…wonder if there are similar projections from, say, 1950 that we could look at and see how they turned out. Thomas Malthus attempted to describe the future of the world population in 1798 in his book, An Essay on the Principle of Population. He predicted a doubling of the global population every 25 years until a lack of food limited the population through hardship or famine and death. Pierre François Verhulst went on to mathematically model…
……成千上万。如果还不能奏效，巨大的不可避免的饥荒就会在后方潜行，以致命的一击让人口与世界粮食产量重归平衡。——T.R. 马尔萨斯，1798年，《人口论》（An essay on the principle of population）第七章，第61页。请记住，这是他1798年写下的，后来有很多文献表明粮食产量是随着人口增长而增长的[1] 诚然，那场大……
…thousands. Should success be still incomplete, gigantic inevitable famine stalks in the rear, and with one mighty blow levels the population with the food of the world. — Malthus T.R. 1798. An essay on the principle of population. Chapter VII, p61 This was 1798 mind you when he wrote that, and much has been written that shows that food production increases in line with population growth [1] It is certainly true that the Great…
……人口。这种持续不断的努力也同样持续地倾向于让社会下层陷入困顿，并阻碍其状况发生任何重大的持久改善。”——T.R. 马尔萨斯，1798年，《人口论》（An Essay on the Principle of Population）第二章。https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Essay_on_the_Principle_of_P...
…population. This constant effort as constantly tends to subject the lower classes of the society to distress and to prevent any great permanent amelioration of their condition". — Malthus T.R. 1798. An Essay on the Principle of Population. Chapter II. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Essay_on_the_Principle_of_P...
我一直对即将出现粮食短缺的预言持怀疑态度。这种预言已经传了200年了（马尔萨斯的《人口论》出版于1800年），但至今一次都没应验过。
I'm always skeptical about predictions of a coming food shortage. It's been predicated for the last 200 (Malthus' An Essay on the Principle of Population was published in 1800), and it hasn't happened yet.
……因此是个悲观主义者，但他性格开朗，是伦敦晚宴派对上的灵魂人物。[1] https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/10483171-the-beginning-o... [2] 《人口论》（1798）http://www.esp.org/books/malthus/population/malthus.pdf
…and was therefore a pessimist who nonetheless was of a sunny disposition and the life and soul of dinner parties in London. [1] https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/10483171-the-beginning-o... [2] An Essay on the Principle of Population (1798) http://www.esp.org/books/malthus/population/malthus.pdf
……19世纪中叶的斐迪南·拉萨尔。卡尔·马克思和弗里德里希·恩格斯把这一教条归功于拉萨尔（尤其在马克思1875年的《哥达纲领批判》中），把这一思想归结于托马斯·马尔萨斯的《人口论》，而术语则源自歌德《神圣》中的“伟大、永恒的铁律”。[1][2][3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_law_of_wages 地租定律：一块土地的地租等于其经济……
…Ferdinand Lassalle in the mid-nineteenth century. Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels attribute the doctrine to Lassalle (notably in Marx's 1875 Critique of the Gotha Programme), the idea to Thomas Malthus's An Essay on the Principle of Population, and the terminology to Goethe's "great, eternal iron laws" in Das Göttliche.[1][2][3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_law_of_wages Law of Rent: the rent of a land site is equal to the economic…
……不知道有没有比方说1950年的类似预测，我们可以翻出来看看结果如何。托马斯·马尔萨斯在1798年的《人口论》（An Essay on the Principle of Population）中试图描绘世界人口的未来。他预测全球人口每25年翻一番，直到粮食短缺通过苦难或饥荒与死亡来限制人口。皮埃尔·弗朗索瓦·韦吕勒后来进行了数学建模……
…wonder if there are similar projections from, say, 1950 that we could look at and see how they turned out. Thomas Malthus attempted to describe the future of the world population in 1798 in his book, An Essay on the Principle of Population. He predicted a doubling of the global population every 25 years until a lack of food limited the population through hardship or famine and death. Pierre François Verhulst went on to mathematically model…