《那不是老虎》封面

那不是老虎

TIGER THAT ISN'T

MICHAEL BLASTLAND · 初版 2007 年

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Hacker News 上怎么说

  • ……主持过一档名为“More or Less”的广播节目,探讨过很多类似的话题,展示了数学如何帮助我们理解广义的世界,尤其是时事。他们的书《The Tiger That Isn't》(http://www.amazon.co.uk/Tiger-That-Isnt-Through-Numbers/dp/1...)写得非常棒,里面还包含了一些围绕样本量和回归均值(regression to mean)的其他案例。文章里让我感触很深的一点是……

    …presented a radio show "More or Less" which covered lots of topics of this sort, showing how maths can aid an understanding of the world in general and current affairs in particular. Their book "The Tiger That Isn't" (http://www.amazon.co.uk/Tiger-That-Isnt-Through-Numbers/dp/1...) is excellent and includes some other examples around sample size and regression to mean. One thing that struck me from the article was…

  • ……我觉得这两方面肯定都不少。如果你好奇我为什么这么想,Dan Ariely 的《Predictably Irrational》是一本探讨该主题的好书。另外还有《The Tiger That Isn't》(Michael Blastland/Andrew Dilnot 著),它探讨的倒不是人的理性本身,而是信息呈现的方式有多容易把我们忽悠瘸(在“拙劣推理”的语境下……

    …I would expect there to be a lot of both going on. If you're wondering why I believe this, the book 'Predictably Irrational' by Dan Ariely springs to mind as a good read about the subject. Also 'The Tiger That Isn't' (Michael Blastland/Andrew Dilnot), not about human rationality as such but rather, how easily we can be foxed by information depending upon how it is presented to us (in the context of 'reasoning poorly'…

  • ……Daniel Gilbert 的《Stumbling on Happiness》(http://tinyurl.com/38lvdzc)——听着像成功学畅销书,其实完全不是,而是很有趣地探讨了为什么我们总是搞不清楚什么才能让自己快乐。3. Andrew Dilnot 的《The Tiger that isn't》(http://tinyurl.com/38hntqx)——一本有趣的指南,带你了解我们对统计数据的本能解读以及媒体是如何操弄它的。4. Ben Goldacre 的《Bad Science》(http://tinyurl.com/3yk8woz)……

    …Stumbling on Happiness by Daniel Gilbert (http://tinyurl.com/38lvdzc) - not the self-help book it sounds like, but an interesting look at why we're so bad at working out what will make us happy. 3. The Tiger that isn't by Andrew Dilnot (http://tinyurl.com/38hntqx) - interesting guide to our instinctive interpretation of statistics and how the media manipulates it. 4. Bad Science by Ben Goldacre (http://tinyurl.com/3yk8woz)…

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